Sunday, October 23, 2016

Trump's many claims disproved - NBC News

THE FACTS?


Trump Cites Pew Study as Proof of Fraud, But Study Doesn't Find It


"According to the highly respected Pew, there are 24 million voter registrations in the United States that are either invalid or significantly inaccurate ... There are 1.8 million dead people that are registered right now to vote. And folks, folks, some of them vote," Trump said Saturday night while calling the election "rigged."
This 2012 Pew study notes that the voter rolls are wildly out of date and advocates for modernizing the system to save taxpayer money. It finds no proof of voter fraud; the study's only mention of voter fraud is merely that error-riddled voter logs lead to the "perception" of being susceptible to fraud. 
In practice, experts say widespread voter fraud just doesn't exist. Poll observers say that if a voter moves to another state or dies, they don't vote twice and aren't likely to be impersonated. A Loyola researcher who reviewed a billion ballots found 31 credible cases of voter fraud

Trump Cites Pew Study as Proof of Fraud, But Study Doesn't Find It

"According to the highly respected Pew, there are 24 million voter registrations in the United States that are either invalid or significantly inaccurate ... There are 1.8 million dead people that are registered right now to vote. And folks, folks, some of them vote," Trump said Saturday night while calling the election "rigged."
This 2012 Pew study notes that the voter rolls are wildly out of date and advocates for modernizing the system to save taxpayer money. It finds no proof of voter fraud; the study's only mention of voter fraud is merely that error-riddled voter logs lead to the "perception" of being susceptible to fraud. 
In practice, experts say widespread voter fraud just doesn't exist. Poll observers say that if a voter moves to another state or dies, they don't vote twice and aren't likely to be impersonated. A Loyola researcher who reviewed a billion ballots found 31 credible cases of voter fraud

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WHAT ARE THE FACTS?


Trump Cites Pew Study as Proof of Fraud, But Study Doesn't Find It


"According to the highly respected Pew, there are 24 million voter registrations in the United States that are either invalid or significantly inaccurate ... There are 1.8 million dead people that are registered right now to vote. And folks, folks, some of them vote," Trump said Saturday night while calling the election "rigged."
This 2012 Pew study notes that the voter rolls are wildly out of date and advocates for modernizing the system to save taxpayer money. It finds no proof of voter fraud; the study's only mention of voter fraud is merely that error-riddled voter logs lead to the "perception" of being susceptible to fraud. 
In practice, experts say widespread voter fraud just doesn't exist. Poll observers say that if a voter moves to another state or dies, they don't vote twice and aren't likely to be impersonated. A Loyola researcher who reviewed a billion ballots found 31 credible cases of voter fraud

Yup, the Investor's Business Daily Poll Was the Most Accurate in 2012


Donald Trump likes to blur the polls. He's boasted of winning ones that didn't exist, and earlier this week he said he'd won every single post-debate online tally  not true, since our own NBC News/Survey Monkey showed Hillary Clinton winning and even Breitbart's survey said the same for a time  so when Trump started talking up the credentials of a lesser-known poll, our fact checker's ear was piqued. 
"We're leading in three recent polls the last day: Rasmussen, LA Times, Investor's Business Daily. The last one was the most accurate poll of the last cycle, so that's a good sign!" he said. 
Sure enough, Trump's spot on here: Investor's Business Daily was indeed the most accurate poll of 2012 among the more prolific pollsters. He's leading Clinton by just one point in the national poll of 789 likely voters  within the margin of error to be sure but leading nonetheless.

Trump Cites Pew Study as Proof of Fraud, But Study Doesn't Find It

"According to the highly respected Pew, there are 24 million voter registrations in the United States that are either invalid or significantly inaccurate ... There are 1.8 million dead people that are registered right now to vote. And folks, folks, some of them vote," Trump said Saturday night while calling the election "rigged."
This 2012 Pew study notes that the voter rolls are wildly out of date and advocates for modernizing the system to save taxpayer money. It finds no proof of voter fraud; the study's only mention of voter fraud is merely that error-riddled voter logs lead to the "perception" of being susceptible to fraud. 
In practice, experts say widespread voter fraud just doesn't exist. Poll observers say that if a voter moves to another state or dies, they don't vote twice and aren't likely to be impersonated. A Loyola researcher who reviewed a billion ballots found 31 credible cases of voter fraud

LATEST POSTS FROM
WHAT ARE THE FACTS?


Trump Cites Pew Study as Proof of Fraud, But Study Doesn't Find It


"According to the highly respected Pew, there are 24 million voter registrations in the United States that are either invalid or significantly inaccurate ... There are 1.8 million dead people that are registered right now to vote. And folks, folks, some of them vote," Trump said Saturday night while calling the election "rigged."
This 2012 Pew study notes that the voter rolls are wildly out of date and advocates for modernizing the system to save taxpayer money. It finds no proof of voter fraud; the study's only mention of voter fraud is merely that error-riddled voter logs lead to the "perception" of being susceptible to fraud. 
In practice, experts say widespread voter fraud just doesn't exist. Poll observers say that if a voter moves to another state or dies, they don't vote twice and aren't likely to be impersonated. A Loyola researcher who reviewed a billion ballots found 31 credible cases of voter fraud

Yup, the Investor's Business Daily Poll Was the Most Accurate in 2012


Donald Trump likes to blur the polls. He's boasted of winning ones that didn't exist, and earlier this week he said he'd won every single post-debate online tally  not true, since our own NBC News/Survey Monkey showed Hillary Clinton winning and even Breitbart's survey said the same for a time  so when Trump started talking up the credentials of a lesser-known poll, our fact checker's ear was piqued. 
"We're leading in three recent polls the last day: Rasmussen, LA Times, Investor's Business Daily. The last one was the most accurate poll of the last cycle, so that's a good sign!" he said. 
Sure enough, Trump's spot on here: Investor's Business Daily was indeed the most accurate poll of 2012 among the more prolific pollsters. He's leading Clinton by just one point in the national poll of 789 likely voters  within the margin of error to be sure but leading nonetheless. 

No, the World Doesn't Hate Obama and America


"The world hates our president, and the world hates us." Trump 10/21/2016
Trump repeatedly said the U.S. is run by "babies" and "losers" today, deriding the president and his wife who have campaigned for his rival at length. But his claim that the world hates President Barack Obama, and the U.S. in general, is false. 
"Barack Obama continues to enjoy a broad degree of international popularity," a Pew Global report found this summer, noting particularly strong popularity in Europe and Asia. The Middle East, where the U.S. is still involved militarily, has lower favorability ratings for the U.S. What's more, the U.S. isn't poorly viewed: a median of 69% view the U.S. favorably, with 24 percent expressing an unfavorable view in another Pew Global study from last year.

Trump Claims Michelle Obama Dissed Hillary Clinton in '08 Primary. She Didn't.


"We have a bunch of babies running our country, folks. We have a bunch of losers. They're losers. They're babies. We have a president, all he wants to do is campaign. His wife, all she wants to do is campaign. And I see how much his wife likes Hillary, but wasn't she the one that originally started the statement, 'If you can't take care of your home,' right? 'You can't take care of the White House or the country.' Where's that? I don't hear that. I don't hear that. She's the one that started that. I said, 'We can't say that. It's too vicious.' Can you believe it? I said that. We can't say it. They said, 'Well, Michelle Obama said it.' I said, 'She did?' Now she said that, but we don't hear about that." Trump, 10/21/2016
In the 2008 Democratic primary, Michelle Obama spoke about her own family while campaigning for her husband in Chicago: "One of the things, the important aspects of this race, is role modeling what good families should look like. And my view is that if you can't run your own house, you certainly can't run the White House. Can't do it." 
Mrs. Obama made similar remarks at a campaign stop in Iowa, talking about the importance of family and how she and Barack Obama managed their careers with raising kids. When those comments were interpreted at a swipe at Clinton, the then-Illinois senator denied that they had anything to do with President Bill Clinton's notorious infidelities. 
Trump made a similar claim in the second debate, suggesting that Mrs. Obama's words had been used as a campaign ad in the 2008 primary. They weren't. The only campaign ad that's used those words are a pro-Trump ad cut by a super PAC this year.

Promoting Voter Fraud


"John Podesta, Hillary Clinton's campaign chairman, was quoted in WikiLeaks saying illegal immigrants could vote as long as they have their driver's license," Donald Trump said Thursday, prompting his Delaware crowd to roar angrily. 
Only Podesta didn't say that. 
In an email chain about voter ID and voter registration, allegedly from Podesta's personal email account that was hacked and published on WikiLeaks, Podesta appears to suggest that photo ID for same-day registration might be a good way to for them to combat GOP-supported voter ID laws. 
Podesta said voters would need to attest to their citizenship to do so -- something you do any time you register to vote -- he doesn't suggest undocumented immigrants lie in order to register to vote. 
The conversation is rooted in hypotheticals: one person suggests supporting online voting, another suggests online voter registration. This wasn't campaign scheming as Trump alleges, this was an informal discussion.

We Fact Checked the Whole Debate. Here's What We Found.


In their third and final debate, the two candidates didn't disappoint our ready and waiting fact check team at NBC News and PolitiFact. In a wild 90-minute debate, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton brought up dozens of inaccuracies, half truths, and a few surprising truths. 

Debunked


Trump said his accusers' "stories have been largely debunked." 
Trump's campaign has disputed the accounts of women who have accused him of misconduct, but their claims have not been "debunked." 

Trump Said ICE Endorsed Him Last Week. Nope


Trump said ICE endorsed him last week. 
A union representing some ICE agents endorsed Trump last month; federal agencies cannot and do not endorse candidates for political office. 

Trump Said He'll Get GDP Higher Than 4 Percent. Experts Doubt It


Trump said he'll get GDP "higher than 4 percent. I think you can go to 5 percent or 6 percent." 
The nonpartisan, non-profit Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget has called such a growth estimate "unrealistic" and "likely unachievable." 

Countries Have Nukes. Mostly True


"...[Trump has] advocated more countries getting them, Japan, Korea, even Saudi Arabia. He said, well, if we have them, why don't we use them, which I think is terrifying," Clinton said. 
"This is just another lie," Trump fired back. "There's no quote. You're not going to find a quote from me."
But Trump did advocate for more countries getting nuclear arms in several interviews in March and April. Countries that he said he was fine with having having nuclear weapons included Japan and South Korea. Clinton's inclusion of Saudi Arabia makes this claim more complex. He did say it would be fine if Saudi Arabia had nuclear weapons, but then immediately walked it back. 
In a March interview, Anderson Cooper asked Trump: "Saudi Arabia, nuclear weapons?" Trump said, "Saudi Arabia, absolutely." 
"You would be fine with them having nuclear weapons?" Cooper asked. 
"No, not nuclear weapons, but they have to protect themselves, or they have to pay us," Trump said. 
Meanwhile, regarding Trump saying "There's no quote," he is right in that there is no direct quote to prove the latter half of Clinton's claim. (There are direct quotes to prove the former.) 
Clinton is referring to MSNBC's Joe Scarborough report that a source told him that Trump asked a foreign policy expert three times about why the nation couldn't use its nuclear arsenal.