Monday, October 23, 2017

Coming of age in an era of prosperity: Meet China's 'bubble generation' - Reuters

Coming of age in an era of prosperity: Meet China's 'bubble generation'
John Ruwitch, Anita Li
WUHAN, China (Reuters) - Call them China’s bubble generation.
China's President Xi Jinping arrives for the closing session of China's National People's Congress (NPC) at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, March 15, 2017. REUTERS/Damir Sagolj
They were born after the crushing of the Tiananmen Square pro-democracy protests, raised mostly without siblings during an unprecedented economic boom, and came of age as Xi Jinping, China’s strongest leader in decades, ascended to power.
It’s a generation that grew up in an era of prosperity and peace; one that has not “eaten bitterness” - or struggled - as their parents and grandparents did.
With Xi starting another five years as China’s top leader, Reuters sought to get to know some members of this bubble generation - 10 people who graduated from university and entered the workforce when Xi’s first term started five years ago.
They are the “Class of 2012”.
The 10 men and women represent just a fraction of the 190 million people born in the 1990s, but they provided key insights into Xi’s China and the generation that will inherit his legacy.
They live in Beijing, Shanghai, Chengdu, Wuhan and Putuan, in Hubei province. Their backgrounds are diverse. They are the sons and daughters of a former factory owner, restaurateurs, a doctor, a construction worker, a local official, and a school administrator.
They attended three different universities – China’s leading trade and economics college in Beijing, a regional university in the central city of Wuhan, and a third-tier technology school in the southwestern city of Chengdu.
That makes them somewhat privileged in a country where relatively few people get to pursue higher education.
Their experiences differ, often widely. And yet, they have much in common.
They are optimistic, open-minded and tend to have a free-spirited streak, even though family roots and obligations remain important. For the unmarried among them, some feel acute pressure to find a mate. Others actively reject the traditional path.
“A good thing about our generation is that, I think, we have more direction in our lives,” said Wu Qiong, the 27-year-old daughter of an insurance saleswoman and a kindergarten headmaster in Wuhan. “Really, you know how you want to live your life, rather than everyone living the same way.”
They crave travel and experiences, and grew up in comfort for the most part. Most have had everything they’ve needed - food and clothing - and often more, things like Nintendo Gameboys or vacations.
They’ve all known extraordinary economic growth year in and year out, making a painful slowdown hard to imagine. Property prices only rise in their world – a double edged sword for young adults trying to get established.
China’s upward trajectory is a given.
“I think the world is getting better and better,” said Qin Lijuan, 28, a personal finance consultant in Chengdu. “Even if we face an economic crisis, as long as you make safe plans your life is still worry-free.”
Members of the “Class of 2012”, like many in China, project political apathy – reflecting perhaps instinctual caution on a sensitive topic in the presence of journalists, or possibly genuine insouciance.
“I don’t care about politics because my job has nothing to do with politics,” said Zheng Yue, 27, an interior designer in Chengdu. “And also I can’t solve political problems. Even if I cared a lot about it, it’s no use. I can’t change anything.”
When political issues are injected into their daily lives, as with internet censorship, they always find a workaround so they can see their favorite television shows or news stories they’re interested in.
BUBBLY OPTIMISM
Xi faces deep socio-economic challenges, and has made it clear that he believes more government control - not less - is what the country needs.
But what if things go sideways, if the China narrative shifts, or if the economy slows significantly, as many economists think is inevitable? What if it hits a brick wall?
“Young Chinese seem to share with young Americans of the 1950s and 1960s a near-unbridgeable generation gap and a huge optimism,” said Michael Pettis, a finance professor at the Guanghua School of Management at Peking University.
But, he said, they are probably ill-prepared for future shocks, despite the experiences and advice of their parents.
Try telling that to Wu.
Born and raised in Wuhan, the capital of Hubei province some 700 km (435 miles) inland from Shanghai, she is in many ways emblematic of the “Class of 2012”.
Articulate and cheerful, Wu decided after graduating from university that the English degree she earned was insufficient to pursue her ambitions - so she got a Master’s degree in accounting. She now works in the international settlements department of a foreign bank.
She hasn’t been able to buy property herself, but she recently persuaded her mother to invest some of her life savings in an apartment in a development called “Cambridge City”. The buildings are next to a subway line under construction. Their plan is to flip it in a couple years.
“The appreciation in house values is much bigger than the return on fixed-term deposits at banks,” Wu said. “For sure it won’t go down.”
In terms of job security, Wu also doesn’t seem to worry.
“In my life I‘m not afraid of the future at all,” she said. “I don’t fear change.”


And, she adds, “if some day there’s a big economic crisis and the financial sector falls into recession I think I could go back and be an English teacher.”

Five reasons Trump's widow story stings - BBC News

Five reasons Trump's widow story stings
Anthony Zurcher
North America reporter
18 October 2017
Sgt Johnson's widow with his coffin at Miami International Airport
Welcome to day three of the Donald Trump condolence-call story.
It started badly, with the president questioning the way his predecessors dealt with the families of war dead. It's only got worse, as the story has morphed into one of an allegedly callous presidential call to a grieving widow of a US soldier killed in Niger.
Trump was insensitive - soldier's mother
Here are five reasons why this snowballing story is so damaging to the president.
It cuts against a strength
Mr Trump campaigned on being a defender of the US military and, in particular, US veterans. Time and again he said those in the armed services weren't being treated well and railed against ongoing evidence of bureaucratic bungling in the veterans' health system.
As a candidate and as president, he has boasted of how much the military loves him and regularly surrounded himself with soldiers and martial symbolism - a way of burnishing his credentials as a strong commander-in-chief. He appointed ex-generals to his administration and lined his redecorated Oval Office with flags.
Now he has to deal with accusations that he is dishonouring the memory of service member who died on his watch. Questions are already swirling about why these soldiers were put in harm's way and whether enough was done to ensure their safety.
Media captionCongresswoman Frederica Wilson: "How insensitive can you be?"
Reporters are digging into other contacts Mr Trump has had with the families of slain soldiers. The Washington Post reports that of 13 it reached, seven had been contacted by the president. One father said Mr Trump had promised him a personal check for $25,000 (£18,900) but hadn't delivered.
Four others had heard nothing and were angry. The next time the president surrounds himself with soldiers, the public might be reminded of this - and become angry, too.
It re-enforces a weakness
An important job of a modern US president is to serve as "consoler-in-chief"; a stable, reassuring voice in times of national distress or tragedy. This can take place on a large scale - when visiting the site of a natural disaster or high-profile accident - or small, in comforting a family member grieving over their loss.
It's a skill that successful politicians learn early on - the human touch - and anti-politician Trump is having a difficult time with it.
In the days after Puerto Rico was struck by a massive hurricane, he was tweeting about the territory's pre-existing financial mismanagement and escalating a feud with San Juan's mayor.
In the hours after a white supremacist rally in Charlottesville led to violent clashes and the death of a counter-protester, Mr Trump gave a statement about how there was blame on both sides.
Charlottesville: What made Trump remarks so offensive?
Mr Trump responded to the militant attack on London Bridge by criticising the city's mayor. He's responded to other attacks, foreign and domestic, by claiming they vindicated his policy proscriptions.
The president has also developed a reputation for getting embroiled in petty disputes. His counter-puncher mentality, while it has served him well against his presidential rivals, also has led him into spats with a former beauty queen, celebrities, sports stars, major companies, prominent journalists, members of his own party and the parents of a Muslim-American soldier killed in Iraq.
That last one seems pretty relevant at this point.
Father of Muslim soldier rebukes Trump
Trump attacks McCain's war record
It makes a bad story worse
It's worth remembering that this whole swirling story started because Mr Trump was asked why four US soldiers had died in Niger and why it took him so long to respond.
In fact, it had been 12 days and the president had issued no statement - tweet, comment or White House release - about the incident whatsoever.
Mr Trump defended himself by taking an (inaccurate) shot at his predecessors for not making similar calls. Although he later backed away from such a sweeping statement, the following day he told a reporter to ask his chief of staff, John Kelly if he had received a call from President Obama.
Media captionTrump denigrates Obama over false fallen soldier claim
Mr Kelly's son had been killed in Afghanistan, and the ex-general has been reluctant to publicly discuss details of his grief. The White House said he hadn't been called, but it was later revealed that he attended an event for Gold Star families - parents of slain soldiers - hosted by the Obama administration.
The chief of staff was notably absent on Tuesday during Mr Trump's joint press appearance with the prime minister of Greece.
Then the president called Johnson's widow, and ... didn't help the situation.
Now he's in a war of words with a sharp-tongued Democratic congresswoman over a story that, however one slices it, does not paint the president in a good light.
Mr Trump once again has shown that he doesn't believe in the Law of Holes - that when you're in a hole, you stop digging. Instead he seems to think that if he keeps digging long enough, he'll come out on the other side.
It's evidence of a sloppy White House
This story could have been nipped in the bud early, with some sort of presidential statement of condolence shortly after the 4 October Niger incident.
In fact, according to Politico, a release had been drafted and circulated within the National Security Council on 5 October - but it never saw the light of day.
During Wednesday's White House press conference, Sarah Huckabee Sanders said that there were administration protocols that had to be followed before the names of slain US servicemen could be released - but that wouldn't have applied to the draft statement responding to reports, which didn't mention the soldiers' names.
Media captionGold Star Mother Christina Ayube: "We don't need to be reminded of that on the way to receiving the body"
"Somebody screwed up here, OK?" Leon Panetta, who served as defence secretary and CIA chief in the Obama administration, told The Washington Post. "You don't let that amount of time pass when our men and women in uniform have been killed."
Compounding matters was that it appears Mr Trump went into the conversation with Johnson's widow without a clear script. It's not outside the realm of possibility that while Mr Trump's intentions were good, his preparation was poor - and he misspoke or made comments open to misinterpretation.
All of this could have been avoided with more careful planning.
A White House meltdown in the making
It's (another) distraction
This is a big month for Mr Trump. If he wants to see Congress pass a tax cut before the end of the year, the coming weeks will be when it gets off the ground.
Democrats are pushing hard to paint the proposal as an unaffordable sop to the rich - and Republicans need to get their message out before public opinion is solidified.
Donald Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell have a lot of work ahead of them this month
The president also took a high-risk gamble in ending cost-sharing subsidies that help insurance companies provide affordable policies to less affluent Americans. Without congressional action, some premiums could skyrocket. If Mr Trump isn't vigorous in defending his decision, he'll be the one that takes the brunt of the blame.
The federal budget process is heating up as well. Although the day of fiscal reckoning was pushed back to the end of December thanks to a deal with the Democrats, that deadline is growing closer every day. If the president wants to see funds for his priorities, like the Mexican border wall, he'll need to be fully engaged in congressional negotiations.
Speaking of negotiations, talks with Mexico and Canada to modify the North America Trade Agreement are hanging by a thread. If they fall apart, the president may have to make the case to the public that pulling out of the deal won't do lasting harm to the US economy.
For the past three days, however, all the oxygen in Washington has been sucked up by the condolence-call story.
Although Mr Trump likes to tout his presidential accomplishments, his record so far is bereft of legislative victories. Recent events have done little to help his cause.

Donald Trump has insulted the UK one too many times – he is not welcome here - Independent

Donald Trump has insulted the UK one too many times – he is not welcome here
For the British, like so many Americans, Trump is turning from an embarrassment and source of innocent amusement into a clear and present danger to America’s internal and external security
Sean O'Grady
Who does Donald Trump think he is?
Whoever that may be, he has that rare and most unblessed of political gifts – an uncanny ability to unite enemies (think Iran and North Korea forming an informal nuclear alliance), and divide and alienate friends. Now it is again the turn of America’s staunchest ally, Britain, who he seems to think is some sort of jihadi sewer in a civil war with Isis.
The President of the United States declared on Twitter: “Just out report: ‘United Kingdom crime rises 13 per cent annually amid spread of Radical Islamic terror.’ Not good, we must keep America safe!”
He has better things to do, surely, than to take such an unusual interest in the crime figures of a foreign country; what a shame his facility for statistics is not correspondingly keen (as was graphically displayed before when he picked on Sweden for some abuse).
Official figures show a 13 per cent increase in crime in England and Wales. The figures have, of course, been mostly attributed to an increase in sex and knife crimes, possibly with higher incidence of the reporting of certain offences. It is not down to terror, as common sense would tell anyone who cared to engage their brain before they got to work on an instant tweet. “Must keep America safe,” says Trump. “Keep”? False news, you might say. If only. For it is already an extremely unsafe place.
Maybe it’s a pity that Trump’s not had his state visit and tea with the Queen yet, for if he had ventured across the Atlantic to spend some more quality time in the UK he might see for himself a tolerant, decent country that makes a virtue of keeping calm and carrying on. Those aren’t virtues conspicuously on show in the Trump administration.
Nor is any sense of perspective or self-awareness on his part about how “safe” America actually is. A rate of about 10 firearm-related deaths per 100,000 inhabitants per year in the US has to be set against a rate of 0.23 per 100,000 inhabitants in Britain. The UK is still an unarmed, civilised, relatively safe society. We are not Syria or Somalia. What is he talking about? Annual deaths from terror attacks run into mere dozens (and are lower than they were during the Northern Irish Troubles). A single “spree” by some deranged American with a carbine in a shopping mall or school would easily exceed all those who lost their lives to Islamist extremism this year.
But say Trump was right. Would that still make it OK for him to lecture another nation about its policies or lifestyle, or the competence of its police and spies? Of course not. Who does it help? Only our mutual enemies, enjoying the disarray.
Trump links rise in UK crime to ‘radical Islamic terror’
There’s a question here of attitudes and reciprocity, on a military, security and simply human level. When the world was rightly appalled and horrified by the events of 9/11, murders of innocent Americans and others that retain all of their emotional power, the response of the British government was to immediately join with the US in attacking al-Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan. We didn’t issue a statement from Downing Street announcing that the CIA, FBI and the US air force had bungled and allowed the terrorists to get through.
Later, more controversially, the British shed blood in a joint enterprise, again with European, Nato and other allies, in Iraq. Before that there was obviously the shared sacrifice in two world wars and Korea in the 1950s, support for the American bombing of Libya in 1986 from US bases in the UK, and countless other acts of diplomatic and armed cooperation. Contrast the warmth of the Cold War relationship between Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher, and its spectacular victorious results, to what we have today between Donald Trump and Theresa May. Which was the better model for both countries?
Britain has not always agreed with America’s struggles, and vice versa, but at least when we had differences the relationship was still warm and respectful, if not always so special. Now, thanks entirely to Donald Trump, it is none of those things.
Barack Obama implies Trump has set US back 50 years in first political speech for a year
Does America need Britain? Certainly not as much as the British sometimes think. As the then Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld told Tony Blair over Iraq, America can go it alone pretty much as it pleases. That is not the point, however. The point is that the British ask no more and no less than to be treated with the respect they deserve as a small but devoted ally, with shared values and interests across the world. The British, respectfully, do not want to be criticised or ridiculed after the deaths of people in London or Manchester. Not much to ask.
Imagine if Theresa May tweeted some line about how “dumb” Americans must be to allow their citizenry to buy combat rifles and powerful machine guns that can kill dozens in seconds, as they did in Las Vegas so recently, all in the name of some “sad” old document from the 18th century that, arguably, was intended to let them have a musket or something.
Imagine if Sadiq Khan, the Mayor of London, sent out a message telling the Americans that they have every reason to be alarmed about the far right, racism and bigotry seen on such a historic scale in the South and elsewhere. Or that President Trump’s attempts at moral equivalence between civil rights protesters and a fascist terrorist was a “pathetic excuse” for statesmanship and leadership.
George Bush launches thinly veiled attack on Trump: ‘Bigotry seems emboldened’ in USA today
For the British, like so many Americans, Trump is turning from an embarrassment and source of innocent amusement into a clear and present danger to America’s internal and external security. In an unprecedented episode, both his immediate predecessors have said as much. Barack Obama and George W Bush have made coded but precise criticisms of the damage this man is doing. It is not difficult to believe that the other surviving presidents – Jimmy Carter, George HW Bush and Bill Clinton share those deep concerns. In fact every president since the War of 1812 would be astonished by Trump’s anti-British insults.
So America’s friends and allies across the world are feeling let down, to say the least, while its enemies are actually getting the better of the West. From Japan and South Korea to the UK and Germany, alliances are being strained by Trump’s boorishness (you recall the massive personal disrespect he showed to Angela Merkel when the German Chancellor visited Washington, refusing to shake her hand. Or the even greater pain to the Japanese premier when he nearly dislocated his wrist). They do not think they can rely on Donald Trump for anything. We cannot even rely on him not to insult or patronise us as we mourn our dead (something we share with the families of fallen American heroes, it seems).
How bad can things get before he has to leave office? How long do we have to endure the Trump nightmare? Who will he insult next?

Russia puts British Putin critic on Interpol wanted list - Guardian

Russia puts British Putin critic on Interpol wanted list
Vladimir Putin said to have agreed to move against Bill Browder, who has battled Moscow over ‘Magnitsky Act’
Bill Browder, US-born British businessman and critic of President Vladimir Putin.
Mark Townsend
Sunday 22 October 2017 10.03 AEDT
Russia has placed a prominent British businessman on the Interpol wanted list. President Vladimir Putin is understood to have sanctioned the move against Bill Browder, who has led an international campaign against Russia over the killing of the jailed Moscow lawyer, Sergei Magnitsky.
On Wednesday Canada became the latest country to pass a “Magnitsky Act”, targeting officials “who have committed gross violations” of human rights. The move infuriated Putin, who accused Canada of playing “unconstructive political games” and later name-checked Browder for pursuing what the Russian president described as “illegal activity”.
On Saturday it emerged that Russia had placed the US-born British citizen on Interpol’s list, exploiting a loophole that lets countries unilaterally place individuals on its database used to request an arrest. Browder said he was alerted to the move by an email from the US department of homeland security, stating his “global entry status” had been revoked. Further calls confirmed he had been added to Interpol’s list via an arrest demand, known as a “diffusion”.
Moscow has a habit of using Interpol against its enemies and has previously used the global police organisation to pursue what many western governments view as a vendetta against Browder. Putin tried three times between 2012 and 2015 to get Interpol to issue arrest orders against Browder, but failed to convince the organisation that it did not have political motives.
The Council of Europe last year criticised Russian attempts to seek Browder’s arrest through Interpol, calling the efforts “abuses” of the system.
“Putin is so rattled by the spreading Magnitsky sanctions around the world that he’s ready to run roughshod over all rules and western norms,” Browder told the Observer. He has been battling the Russian government for over a decade, alleging that Russian law enforcement stole £174m, which his company had paid in taxes. Magnitsky died in Russian custody in 2009 amid allegations he had been tortured after uncovering a huge fraud that implicated government officials. His death prompted Browder to work with the US Congress to pass the Magnitsky Act, which levied targeted sanctions against powerful players in Russia.
Based in France and involving 190 countries, Interpol describes its purpose as enabling “police around the world to work together to make the world a safer place’.”

Trump says he will allow scheduled release of JFK files - BBC News

Trump says he will allow scheduled release of JFK files
21 October 2017
President John F Kennedy was given a state funeral, after hundreds of thousands of people viewed his casket
Donald Trump has said he plans to allow the opening of a trove of long-classified files on the assassination of former president John F Kennedy.
The president tweeted to say he would allow the release "subject to receipt of further information".
The files are scheduled to be opened by the US National Archives on 26 October, but the president is entitled to extend their classified status.
Kennedy was shot dead by a sniper on 22 November 1963 in Dallas, Texas.
The National Archives has already released most documents related to the assassination but a final batch remains under lock and key.
"Subject to the receipt of further information, I will be allowing, as President, the long blocked and classified JFK FILES to be opened," Trump said in a tweet.
Congress ruled in 1992 that all JFK documents should be released within 25 years, unless the president decided the release would harm national security.
The archive contains more than 3,000 previously unreleased documents, and more than 30,000 that have been released before but with redactions.
Media captionJFK at 100: 'His life was not as glamorous as you think'
It is unclear whether Mr Trump intends to allow the release in full or with redactions.
Kennedy assassination experts do not think the last batch of papers contains any bombshells, according to a Washington Post report.
But the files may shed more light on Lee Harvey Oswald's activities in Mexico City just months before the assassination.
Oswald was arrested in Dallas on the day of the shooting and charged with the president's murder. He denied the charges, claiming he was a "just a patsy".
He was gunned down by nightclub owner Jack Ruby while in police custody two days later, and the plot to kill Kennedy became the most powerful conspiracy theory in American history.
"The American public deserves to know the facts, or at least they deserve to know what the government has kept hidden from them for all these years," Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics and author of a book about Kennedy, told the Associated Press news agency.
"It's long past the time to be forthcoming with this information."