Monday, October 20, 2014

Presumed Guilty in China’s War on Corruption, Targets Suffer Abuses - New York Times

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/20/world/asia/the-new-victims-of-chinas-war-on-corruption.html?emc=edit_th_20141020&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=56381892&_r=0

By ANDREW JACOBS and CHRIS BUCKLEYOCT. 19, 2014

    BEIJING — He was starved, pummeled and interrogated for days on end in an ice-cold room where sleeping, sitting or even leaning against a wall were forbidden. One beating left Wang Guanglong, a midlevel official fromChina’s Fujian Province, partly deaf, according to his later testimony. Suicide, he told relatives and his lawyers afterward, tempted him.
    In the end, he said, he took a deal: He signed a confession acknowledging he had accepted $27,000 in bribes, wrongly believing he would be released on bail and able to clear his name of a crime he says he did not commit.
    “He did what they told him to do in order to save his own life,” his sister, Wang Xiuyun, said in an interview.
    China is in the midst of a scorching campaign against government corruption, one that has netted more than 50 high-ranking officials and tens of thousands of workaday bureaucrats as part of President Xi Jinping’s effort to restore public confidence in the ruling Communist Party. In the first half of this year, prosecutors opened more than 6,000 investigations of party officials, according to government statistics released in July.
    Photo
    Zhou Yongkang, the former domestic security chief, faces charges of violating party discipline. Many lawyers view his case as a test of whether party leaders are committed to legal reform.CreditFeng Li/Getty Images
    And China’s leaders vow that their cleanout has just begun.
    But admirers of Mr. Xi’s antigraft blitz largely overlook a key paradox of the campaign, critics say: Waged in the name of law and accountability, the war on corruption often operates beyond the law in a secretive realm of party-run agencies, like the one that snared Mr. Wang, plagued by their own abuses and hazards.
    In more than a dozen interviews, legal scholars and lawyers who have represented fallen officials said defending them was especially difficult, even by the standards of a judicial system tightly controlled by the party.
    The biggest challenge, they say, begins the moment an accused official disappears into the custody of party investigators for a monthslong period during which interrogators seek to extract confessions, sometimes through torture.
    Known as shuanggui, it is a secretive, extralegal process that leaves detainees cut off from lawyers, associates and relatives. “It deprives citizens of their fundamental rights,” said Mao Lixin, a lawyer who represented Mr. Wang.
    But even after a case leaves the hands of party investigators and enters the criminal justice system, lawyers say, they have limited access to evidence, witnesses and their clients. And trials, they say, are often hasty affairs that ignore defendants’ allegations of coercion and torture.
    Lawyers say Chinese courts rarely allow them to call defense witnesses, while prosecutors frequently withhold crucial evidence.
    Guilty verdicts are rarely in doubt. Of the 8,110 officials who received court verdicts on bribery and graft charges in the first half of this year, 99.8 percent were convicted, according to government figures. That is, only 14 of the defendants were cleared of charges.
    Even as they cheer Mr. Xi’s anticorruption campaign, defense lawyers and advocates of legal reform are raising red flags about the lack of due process for those accused of official wrongdoing. They say without systemic change — chiefly a depoliticized, independent judiciary — the party’s twin goals of rooting out corruption and winning back public trust will ultimately founder.
    “There are too many cases of unjust and false verdicts,” said Shen Zhigeng, a seasoned defense lawyer who has represented scores of government officials. “What ordinary people hate most isn’t corruption, it’s the abuse of the law.”
    This week, when hundreds of members of the party’s influential Central Committee meet in the nation’s capital, they will undoubtedly endorse the main item on Mr. Xi’s agenda, “governing the country according to law.”
    Photo
    President Xi Jinping of China has promised to keep up the effort to root out corruption.CreditJason Lee/Reuters
    But most analysts agree that any reform proposals are likely to be incremental, and several lawyers expressed pessimism that party leaders would relinquish the power to engineer the outcome of cases that they believe might threaten their authority or the financial fortunes of kin and cronies.
    “We believe that in reality we’re still working inside an old system that hasn’t gone through any fundamental change,” said Li Xiaolin, a lawyer who for a time represented Bo Xilai, the former Politburo member serving a life sentence on corruption and other charges. “The legal community has this theory that if you don’t strive for rule of law, then each of us could become a victim of lack of rule of law.”
    For all its zealousness, and the growing roster of the fallen, the party’s campaign against graft operates under its own set of mysterious rules.
    Given the endemic corruption among Chinese officials and the opacity of the legal system, it remains unclear whether those targeted by party investigators are the most corrupt, or just the ones unlucky enough to have chosen the wrong side in an unseen factional battle.
    Many lawyers view the case of Zhou Yongkang, the former domestic security chief who is facing charges of violating party discipline, as rich in irony. Once widely feared, Mr. Zhou is at the mercy of his political adversaries, among them Mr. Xi.
    Once party investigators hand the case over to the police for criminal investigation, most analysts expect Mr. Zhou will be found guilty during a trial that will be choreographed to give the impression of due process.
    Many defense lawyers say his trial will be a test of whether party leaders are truly committed to legal reform. Few expect the proceedings to adhere to international norms.
    “Zhou Yongkang was very evil and destroyed rule of law, but he should be tried according to rule of law,” said Tian Wenchang, a partner in King & Capital, one of China’s largest law firms. “But objectively speaking, old habits die hard.”
    Because Mr. Zhou and most of his family have not been allowed to communicate for more than a year, it is impossible to know the tribulations he may be enduring. But the handful of government officials who have experienced the party’s internal investigation regimen and dared to speak out afterward suggest that less senior bureaucrats can face a harrowing array of cruelties that mount alongside a corruption target’s resistance to full confession, even to crimes that may not have been theirs.

    Mr. Wang, 51, the former head of the Land and Resources Bureau in the coastal city of Fuqing, was sentenced in November to 10 years in a trial based largely on his confession. His lawyer, Mr. Mao, said the trial was rife with irregularities, and the two men who were said to have bribed Mr. Wang did not testify in the trial last year. (One testified at a second trial after Mr. Wang appealed.)

    The court dismissed his allegations of torture. Although his claims could not be independently verified by The New York Times, his family was adamant that the torture had taken place, and Mr. Wang’s descriptions parallel those in other cases that have come to light.
    Photo
    Bo Xilai, a former Politburo member, received a life sentence in 2013. Of 8,110 officials who received court verdicts on bribery and graft in the first half of this year, only 14 were cleared.
    Such abuses seldom elicit public outrage. Many Chinese assume that the vast majority of officials are tainted by corruption, and they have mostly welcomed the wave of detentions even as they acknowledge that some of the accused may have been swept up for political reasons.
    Lin Zhe, a scholar at the Central Party School, an institution in Beijing that trains rising officials, dismissed suggestions that politics played a role in determining investigation targets.
    “The ones who have been taken down have been taken down because they have problems, not because of political issues,” she said.
    Wang Qishan, who oversees the party’s anticorruption agency, the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, and other officials have said that corruption investigations should adhere to “rule of law,” and that party investigators should hand over cases to the legal authorities more quickly than they do now.
    In a briefing for members of a state advisory committee in August, he said the campaign would take years, given the entrenched habits of corrupt officials.
    “It’s like quitting smoking and drinking,” he said. “Can you stop smoking or drinking just like that?”
    So far, Mr. Xi and Mr. Wang have racked up detentions and arrests that have surpassed even the boldest expectations when they took their posts in November 2012.
    In the first half of this year, the party punished some 84,000 members for infractions of discipline — a 30 percent increase over the same period last year — with penalties ranging from demotions to ejection from the party, according to official statistics.
    Mr. Xi has promised to keep up the pressure.

    “The party and country’s fate has been put in our hands, and we must shoulder this responsibility,” Mr. Xi said, according to a party newspaper in August.
    But his rallying cry has yet to win over many Chinese lawyers, who say that without systemic change, the campaign is bound to fail and rampant corruption will eventually re-emerge.
    Borrowing Mr. Xi’s often repeated metaphor of tackling “both tigers and flies” in his drive to uproot graft, Mr. Li, the lawyer who represented Bo Xilai, said, “When your cesspool is still there, and the flies are drawn by the odor, then you can never swat them all.”
    Andrew Jacobs reported from Beijing, and Chris Buckley from Hong Kong. Kiki Zhao contributed research from Beijing.

    Sunday, October 19, 2014

    What You Need to Know About the Stock Market Sell-Off - TIME

    http://time.com/3512808/market-selloff-stocks-economy/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+timeblogs%2Fcurious_capitalist+%28TIME%3A+Business%29

    Oct. 16, 2014
        
    For the last few years, markets were from Mars, and the real economy was from Venus. The two literally occupied different worlds, as stock prices kept rising, even as wages were stagnant and growth was slow. As of yesterday, that divide has been bridged. Stock prices finallyplunged into a real correction of the kind we haven’t seen since the apex of the European debt crisis three years ago.

    The question is, why now? The answer comes in two parts. First, with Europe in danger of tipping into recession, and China’s growth much lower than the official statistics would indicate (that’s one of the big reasons oil prices are down since China is now the world’s major consumer of energy), investors have realized that a wimpy recovery in the U.S. isn’t enough to buoy global growth. Sure, growth numbers were a bit better this year than last, but we’re still in a 3 percent economy that doesn’t look or feel much different than the 2 percent economy (see my Curious Capitalist column on that topic). If you think of the global economy as three legs on a stool, the legs being the U.S., Europe, and the emerging markets led by China, what’s becoming very clear to markets is that a 3 percent economy in the U.S. isn’t enough to sustain global momentum. Indeed, the U.S. may grow faster than the world as a whole this year, which is an odd thing for a developed market. It speaks to how weak the global economy as a whole still is.
    Second, markets have realized that this recovery has been a genetically engineered recovery. It’s been engineered by the monetary scientists at the Fed, who’ve pumped $4 trillion into the economy since 2009 in an attempt to strengthen an economy that is fundamentally not as strong as it looks. Despite the Fed’s best efforts (and I agree that they needed to do something, especially in the beginning), the real economy simply hasn’t caught up to the markets. Unemployment has ticked down, but wages still haven’t ticked up. It’s no accident that weak retail sales in the U.S. were one of the economic indicators that triggered the sell-off. As I’ve said many times before, you can’t have a sustainable recovery, one markets can really believe in, until you have the majority of the population with more money in their pockets.
    The reality is that this hasn’t happened in the last few years, and for many people, decades (the average male worker today makes less in real terms than he did in the early 1970s).

    So does this mean we are in for a long, slow slide? Not exactly. I’d bet more on increased volatility (if you are a subscriber, you can read thispiece I wrote on the coming Age of Volatility, back in 2011). Markets will go up and down, but as long as the U.S. is the prettiest house on the ugly block that is the global economy, money may stay parked in the largest American multinationals longer than you’d think. Whether or not our economy deserves the vote of confidence is another question.

    Saturday, October 18, 2014

    5 Email Rules That Will Change Your Life - TIME

    http://time.com/3507143/5-email-rules/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+timeblogs%2Fcurious_capitalist+%28TIME%3A+Business%29

    Oct. 17, 2014
        

    Adhering to these handy rules can help you stand out from the pack


    It might be one of the least sexy skills on the planet, but the ability to weave a flawless email is an enviable trait. Because so much of communication is derived from nonverbal cues such as body language, an effectively-written email is particularly important: without those nonverbal cues, emails can so easily get misinterpreted, at best leading to minor misunderstandings, and at worst, derailing important business projects.
    Depending on what type of job you hold, email etiquette can vary significantly. In many corporate cultures, the tone is formal and messages are very matter-of-fact, whereas other companies are accustomed to informal interactions involving smiley faces and cute “xoxo” sign-offs. But wherever where you work, one thing remains the same: your email manners matter.
    Here are 5 general rules to follow to master the art of emailing:
    1. Be direct.
    If your inbox is anything like mine, chances are it’s flooded by a ridiculous number of emails per day. Given that, it’s imperative that all your outgoing emails have a clear subject line. Also, in the body of the email make sure you get to the point using as few words as possible. Lengthy messages typically scare more people off.
    “It’s very simple; emails should deliver information and, if needed, send out a call to action,”says Deb Merry, marketing expert and entrepreneur.
    Speaking of delivering information efficiently: when a long email exchange morphs into a new topic but the subject hasn’t changed, it’s time to edit the subject to make the thread easier to find in the future.
    1. Know your audience.
    Lindsey Pollak, email etiquette consultant and author of Getting From College to Careerexplains, “Your e-mail greeting and sign-off should be consistent with the level of respect and formality of the person you’re communicating with.”
    Pollak advises writing “for the person who will be reading it–if they tend to be very polite and formal, write in that language. The same goes for a receiver who tends to be more informal and relaxed.”
    Before reaching out to any potential clients or customers, it’s important to do your homework. In other words, you need to develop a mental image of who they are and what they’ll respond to, and write your email accordingly.
    1. Add a personal touch.
    Adding a personal touch is usually very effective. For example, if you are reaching out to an author to request a book for reviewing, it’s a good idea to compliment some of his previous work. Not only does it make him feel good, but it shows you put in the effort to learn about him. Who wouldn’t want to do business with someone like that?
    If you’re using a tool like Salesforce or Contactually to send out a number of emails at once, be sure to personalize before sending. A mass mail that feels like a mass mail is a major turn-off.
    1. Follow up and express your gratitude.
    In many cases, your initial exchange will require a follow up. It’s one thing to establish a connection, but learning how to maintain relationships is another skill entirely.
    Following up after a pitch meeting? A short, unique email showing your appreciation for the other parties’ time will go a long way. Responding to press? Your follow up “could be as simple as a quick email or tweet saying thanks, or it could be following up with feedback about the coverage,” Crew Blog reports.
    Follow-up emails are a great opportunity to say thank you and leave on a positive note so you can continue doing business together.
    1. Don’t just ask–give.
    Whether you’re following up with someone or just checking in with a contact you’re out of touch with, it usually feels less obtrusive if you try to add value in some way. If there is a product they might be interested in, let them know. If there is news relevant to their industry, let them know. If you have a suggestion for their business that can help them improve their profitability, let them kn- well, you get the idea.
    You never want to be the type of contact who only gets in touch when you want something; that’s a great way to keep your professional network small.

    Of course, these are just my top five. How would you rate yourself on the email etiquette scale? What else would you say has been a key to your email success?

    Friday, October 17, 2014

    Opinion: Why More Inventions Don't Win Nobel Prizes, and Why That's a Good Thing - National Geographic

    http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/10/141008-invention-win-nobel-prize-science/?utm_source=Facebook&utm_medium=Social&utm_content=link_fb20141009news-opinionnobel&utm_campaign=Content&sf5123455=1


    Even though Alfred Nobel was an inventor, fundamental discoveries have won more Nobel Prizes. And maybe that's OK, a science journalist argues.

    George Johnson
    PUBLISHED OCTOBER 8, 2014
    When Alfred Nobel wrote a will leaving his fortune to underwrite annual prizes for intellectual achievement, he specified that one be given "to the person who shall have made the most important discovery or invention within the field of physics."
    To the credit of the judges, they didn't take his instructions too literally. Nobel accolades are best heaped upon fundamental insights. Practical inventions get other rewards.
    Usually the theoretical does win out. This year's physics winner was an exception—blue LEDs, or light-emitting diodes, hailed in a news release from the Nobel Foundation as "a new energy-efficient and environment-friendly light source."
    Perhaps they were making up for awarding last year's prize to the Higgs boson. That discovery will never illuminate most people's lives, but it provided the capstone for one of science's most towering achievements: the Standard Model, which goes a long way toward showing how matter and energy conspire to form the universe. (See "Nobel Prize Goes to Inventors of Blue LED: Why It Was Revolutionary.")
    It's fitting that Thomas Edison was never recognized for the lightbulb, or Alexander Graham Bell for the telephone. Instead the judges gave physics prizes to J. J. Thomson and Robert Millikan for discovering the electron—the juice not just for Edison's lights and Bell's telephones but also for an entire communications and computation industry. (See "Why Didn't They Win? 10 Huge Discoveries Without a Nobel.")
    Traditionally the category called "physiology or medicine" has recognized work of more obvious benefit—penicillin, streptomycin, insulin, and more recently, discoveries elucidating the roles of the viruses HIV in AIDS and HPV in cervical cancer. But awards for theoretical insights—the double helix and cancer—causing genes (oncogenes)-have had even greater impacts on understanding the functions and malfunctions of life.
    This year's award—for uncovering circuitry used by the brain for navigation—won't save lives or quell epidemics. But it stands as a particularly impressive step toward a goal with no end in sight: understanding the mind. (See "Nobel Prize a Reminder of How the Brain Can Surprise Us.")
    When inventions, pure and simple, have been bestowed with the prize—the cyclotron, the bubble chamber, the digital light sensors called CCDs (for charge-coupled devices)—the honor has almost always been not for the thing itself but for the new realms of discovery it opened up. The world could get along well without camera cell phones. What's exciting about CCDs, whose inventors won the 2009 physics prize, is their use in the Hubble Space Telescope and the Sloan Digital Sky Survey.
    So it was with this year's Nobel Prize in chemistry—for a technology called super-resolved fluorescence microscopy, which allows scientists to study living cells at a level of detail once thought impossible.
    Practical spin-offs are often unforeseen. When Heike Onnes was recognized back in 1913 "for his investigations on the properties of matter at low temperatures," the judges seemed most impressed that the work led to the making of liquid helium.
    But Onnes had also discovered superconductivity. That in itself was a triumph, and it led to the development of the powerful electromagnets used both in MRI scanning and the Large Hadron Collider, the gargantuan instrument in which the Higgs boson was pinned down.
    That celebrated find may never have practical applications. Nor probably will the Nobel Prize-winning observation that the universe is expanding at an accelerated pace. Yet no one asks that of the literature prizes—and science is the most exalted art of all.
    George Johnson is a freelance science writer and the author of The Ten Most Beautiful Experiments and other books.

    Thursday, October 16, 2014

    France’s Jean Tirole Wins Nobel Prize for Economics - Fortune Magazine

    http://time.com/3501723/jean-tirole-nobel-prize-economics/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+timeblogs%2Fcurious_capitalist+%28TIME%3A+Business%29

    Oct. 13, 2014
        
    French economist Jean Tirole poses at the School of Economics in Toulouse, France on June 2, 2008.Eric Cabanis—AFP/Getty Images

    Tirole won for his ‘analysis of market power and regulation’

    French economist Jean Tirolehas won the 2014 Nobel prize for economics.
    Tirole, a professor of economics at Toulouse University, won for his “analysis of market power and regulation.”

    On Friday, Pakistani school girl Malala Yousafzai and India’s Kailash Satyarthi both won the Nobel Peace Prize for their work defending education rights for children.

    Wednesday, October 15, 2014

    Oil Prices Hit 3-Year Low - Fortune Magazine

    http://time.com/3501832/oil-gas-prices-opec/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+timeblogs%2Fcurious_capitalist+%28TIME%3A+Business%29

    Oct. 13, 2014
        

    As OPEC squabbles over sharing pain of lower prices

    RECOMMENDED FOR YOU
    The price of crude oil fell to a new three-year low Monday as a split between the world’s most important producers on how to share the pain of lower prices becomes increasingly apparent.

    Prices for the U.S. and European benchmark blends fell nearly 2% in early trading Monday, on a Reuters reportsuggesting that Saudi Arabia was willing to accept a price of as low as $80 a barrel for the next year or two, in order to defend its share of the global market. The New York Mercantile Exchange’s crude contract traded at $84.65 by 0700 EDT, down from a peak of over $107 a barrel as recently as June.
    Saudi Arabia is the largest producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, the cartel which produces a third of the world’s oil supply and essentially keeps the balance of supply and demand in the market. As Saudi Arabia can undercut almost every other country if it wants to, it has a huge influence on regulating OPEC’s overall supply.
    The price of the world’s most important commodity is under pressure from both directions: demand is weakening as the European and Chinese economies slow down, while global supply is increasing as Iraqi and Libyan exports rebound from war-related disruptions, and the U.S. pumps ever more oil from shale deposits. (The long-term demand outlook is also looking rockier, because of new technologies such as electric cars.)
    The sharpest decline in recent weeks was due to Saudi Arabia slashing official selling prices for customers in Asia and Europe signalling that it was prepared to remove the floor for prices for the short term. Iran and Iraq have both followed suit in recent days.
    Such developments invariably create tensions within OPEC, whose 12 members have very different agendas.
    Venezuela and Iran, two countries which need as high a price as possible to support their budget spending, have both signalled their unhappiness and are pressing for an emergency meeting of OPEC ministers to agree coordinated production cutbacks. A top adviser to the Iranian oil ministry, Mehran Amirmoeini, warned at the weekend about a repeat of the havoc of 1998, when an “inadequate reaction by OPEC” to the Asian financial crisis brought the price crashing down to $8 a barrel.
    Saudi and its gulf allies, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates, have so far appeared unmoved.
    “I don’t think today there is a chance that (OPEC) countries would reduce their production,” state news agency KUNA quoted Kuwaiti minister Ali al-Omair as saying Sunday.
    Saudi Arabia’s willingness to accept a price war may benefit U.S. and European consumers in the form of lower gasoline prices, but will have big knock-on effects in other oil-producing countries.
    It will certainly make life harder for shale oil producers in the U.S., as up to 40% of alternative U.S. oil supplies may be unprofitable at prices below $80 a barrel, according to analysts at Deutsche Bank.
    But the chief effects are on other petro-states. Russia, for example, needs an oil price of $114/bbl for its budget to balance this year, and it needs a balanced budget all the more because western financial sanctions mean that it can’t finance a budget deficit by borrowing in international capital markets right now. The ruble hit a new all-time low of 40.438 to the dollar in early trading Monday and has lost 16% against the dollar since July. Against a backdrop of falling revenue, finance minister Anton Siluanov warned last week that the country’s ambitious plans to raise defense spending had become unaffordable.
    A spokesman for Russian state-controlled giant OAO Rosneft took a swipe at Saudi “manipulation” of the oil price on Sunday, warning that it would “end badly” for the Kingdom. Saudi-Russian relations have soured over Russia’s support for the Assad regime in Syria. Russia has also grumbled about Saudi sponsorship of radical Islam in its southern republics.

    Tuesday, October 14, 2014

    The Cost of Living the Luxe Life Has Fallen — if You Live in Asia - TIME

    http://time.com/3504971/cost-of-living-luxury-prices-asia-rich-affluence-lifestyle/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+timeblogs%2Fcurious_capitalist+%28TIME%3A+Business%29

    4:37 AM ET
        

    A dip in the luxury-property market is behind the trend

    Asia is already poised to take over from North America as the region of the world with the most multimillionaires. Now Asia’s wealthy are about to see their money go further.
    The Wall Street Journalreports that living exceptionally well in Asia cost less this year than it did last year — the first time since 2011 that it has gone down from year to year.
    The 2014 Lifestyle Index from Swiss private bank Julius Baer says the cost of living la dolce vita in 11 Asian cities fell 5.3% from 2013 to 2014, the Journal says.
    The good news for Asia’s rich owes much to a big dip in top-end property prices, which, for instance, are down about 14% in Hong Kong. The prices of high-end hotel suites, business-class flights and a glass of wine also fell in most of the markets.
    What did not fall, though, was the price of getting an education in Asia: going to university in Tokyo is 44% pricier that it was last year. Even in Hong Kong and Shanghai, which saw the lightest increase in tuition, it’s still 22% and 21% more expensive to get a college degree in those cities than it was in 2013.
    Meanwhile, in bad news for the truly well-heeled, the price of top-end women’s shoes, including red-soled heels from Christian Louboutin, is still as high as ever.

    [WSJ]

    Monday, October 13, 2014

    Dallas Nurse Contracts Ebola Virus, Elevating Response and Anxiety - New York Times

    http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/13/us/texas-health-worker-tests-positive-for-ebola.html?emc=edit_th_20141013&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=56381892

    By MANNY FERNANDEZOCT. 12, 2014

      A hazardous-materials crew on Sunday cleaned outside the Dallas apartment building of a nurse who was infected with Ebola. 

      DALLAS — A nurse here became the first person to contract Ebola within the United States, prompting local, state and federal officials who had settled into a choreographed response to scramble on Sunday to solve the mystery of how she became infected, despite wearing protective gear, and to monitor additional people possibly at risk.
      The news further stoked fears of health care workers across the country, many of whom have grown increasingly anxious about having to handle Ebola cases. The confirmation on Sunday of the second Ebola case in Dallas — four days after the death on Wednesday of the first patient, Thomas Eric Duncan, 42, a Liberian who arrived in this country in September — opened a new and more frightening chapter in the unfolding public health drama.
      While the new Ebola patient was not publicly identified, officials said that she was a nurse who had helped treat Mr. Duncan at a hospital here and that she may have violated safety protocols. It was the first confirmed instance of Ebola being transmitted in this country. Officials expanded the pool of people they had been monitoring, because the nurse had not been among the 48 health care workers, relatives of Mr. Duncan and others whom they were evaluating daily.
      Photo
      Mayor Mike Rawlings spoke to residents of the street.CreditLM Otero/Associated Press
      The federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended that health officials look more closely at the protective gear that nurses, doctors and hospital assistants use when treating Ebola patients. It also, for the first time, was considering the idea that patients with the virus should be transferred to hospitals with special containment units and experience in treating the disease.
      The Dallas hospital at the center of the two Ebola cases, Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital, was facing renewed scrutiny over whether it had properly trained its workers. It sent Mr. Duncan home on Sept. 25 under the belief he had a sinus infection, only to have him return Sept. 28 when his conditions worsened.
      The C.D.C. said it would conduct a nationwide training conference call on Tuesday for thousands of health care workers to ensure they would be fully prepared to treat a patient with Ebola.
      “The care of Ebola patients can be done safely, but it’s hard to do it safely,” Dr. Thomas R. Frieden, director of the C.D.C., told reporters Sunday. “Even a single, inadvertent innocent slip can result in contamination.”
      Photo
      In response to the latest report of the second victim in Dallas, officials moved swiftly to clean and decontaminate many places where the nurse had been.CreditCooper Neill for The New York Times
      The stricken nurse reported a low-grade fever overnight Friday, officials said. It appeared that she drove herself to the emergency room of Presbyterian Hospital, where she worked, and was admitted and put in isolation 90 minutes later, the officials said.
      She had extensive contact with Mr. Duncan on multiple occasions after his second visit and admission to the hospital on Sept. 28, Dr. Frieden said.
      The nurse had been monitoring herself for symptoms of Ebola, under a regimen prescribed by the C.D.C. Health officials will now investigate who had been in contact with Mr. Duncan after he was admitted to the hospital and while he was in isolation, Dr. Frieden said.
      Before her trip to the emergency room, officials said, the nurse had not been at work for two days. A preliminary blood test was done at the state public health lab in Austin, and the positive result was received late Saturday evening, officials said. Late Sunday afternoon, the C.D.C. confirmed that she had Ebola after completing its own tests.
      Continue reading the main story


      The director of the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said that a Dallas hospital where a nurse became infected with Ebola did not follow worker safety guidelines in the course of treating Thomas Eric Duncan, the Liberian man who died last week.
      The woman was in stable condition on Sunday. Dr. Daniel Varga, chief clinical officer of Texas Health Resources, which oversees Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital, told reporters on Sunday that the worker had worn protective gear when coming in contact with Mr. Duncan, although he did not detail the type of contact.
      “This individual was following full C.D.C. precautions,” Dr. Varga said, adding, “Gown, glove, mask and shield.” Asked how concerned he was that the worker tested positive despite the precautions, he replied, “We’re very concerned.”
      Despite Dr. Varga’s reassurances about C.D.C. precautions having been followed, Dr. Frieden said it appeared that the woman had breached safety protocol at the hospital, possibly when removing the protective gear. Speaking on the CBS program “Face the Nation” and later at a news conference, he said that questioning of the worker had not identified precisely how a breach occurred, and that the cause of her infection was not known. Dr. Frieden said that everyone who had treated Mr. Duncan was now considered to be potentially exposed and that other cases of Ebola were possible.
      “We’re deeply concerned about this new development,” he said on the talk show.
      Photo
      Debra Buccellato, an emergency room nurse in Santa Rosa, Calif., said she had not undergone any active training for Ebola. CreditJason Henry for The New York Times
      The C.D.C. has said that for health workers in the United States, gloves, gowns, masks and face shields or goggles would be protection enough. But many health workers across the country, seeing images of people in Africa completely encased in full-body hazardous-material suits, have requested similar protection.
      “A lot of us are starting to get worried,” said Debra Buccellato, an emergency room nurse in Santa Rosa, Calif. “I’m a single mom, so if I got sick there’d be a huge void.”
      Ms. Buccellato, 38, said supervisors at her hospital had distributed information about C.D.C. guidelines, but added, “I have not seen any active training or practice drills, and I haven’t seen any new or upgraded personal protective equipment.”
      She said that she had emailed her manager to ask for more training, but that she was not sure that hazardous-material suits were the best option for her 90-bed facility, Sutter Santa Rosa Hospital.
      Photo
      The authorities distributed informational fliers.CreditLouis Deluca/The Dallas Morning News, via Associated Press
      “I don’t know how realistic it is to go to that level when you have X amount of patients to take care of and time issues,” Ms. Buccellato said. For now, she said, she plans to start wearing a face mask for her entire shift.
      On Sunday, National Nurses United, the country’s largest union and professional association of nurses, continued to sound the alarm and call for hazardous-material suits at all hospitals.
      “I’m angry about this,” said RoseAnn DeMoro, the executive director. “We want the first line of defense to be the most prepared. Our hospitals are resisting us. The C.D.C. doesn’t say that we need hazmat suits. If this doesn’t change dramatically, we will picket every hospital in this country if we have to.”

      President Obama on Sunday directed the C.D.C. to expedite its investigation into how the health care worker contracted the deadly virus, according to aWhite House statement.
      Continue reading the main story


      In an indication that the White House was taking steps in advance of any possible spread of the disease, Mr. Obama also directed federal officials to make sure that hospitals and health workers across the nation “are prepared to follow protocols should they encounter an Ebola patient,” the statement said. Mr. Obama was briefed by Lisa Monaco, the president’s assistant for homeland security, and then spoke by telephone with Sylvia Mathews Burwell, the secretary of health and human services.



      While other patients with Ebola have been treated in the United States in recent weeks, the nurse is only the second person — after Mr. Duncan — whose condition was diagnosed in the United States. All of the other patients — including medical personnel, relief workers and journalists — received a diagnosis while working in West Africa near Ebola victims, and were brought to this country for treatment.
      Four hospitals in the United States — Emory University Hospital in Atlanta; Nebraska Medical Center in Omaha; the National Institutes of Health in Bethesda, Md.; and St. Patrick Hospital in Missoula, Mont. — have high-containment units for isolating patients with dangerous infectious diseases, and medical teams at those facilities have conducted extensive training and drills for dealing with pathogens like Ebola.
      But in Dallas on Sunday, officials were trying to persuade residents to remain calm, and reminded them that their risk of exposure was low.
      Photo
      A police officer provided security on Sunday at the Dallas residence of a nurse who had contracted Ebola. A barrel, left, held hazardous materials from a cleanup.CreditLM Otero/Associated Press
      “You cannot contract Ebola other than from the bodily fluids of a symptomatic Ebola victim,” said County Judge Clay Jenkins, Dallas County’s chief executive, who himself has had close contact with those who lived with Mr. Duncan. “You cannot contract Ebola by walking by people on the street or by being around contacts who are not symptomatic. There’s nothing about this case that changes that basic premise of science.”
      City officials moved swiftly to clean and decontaminate many of the places where the nurse had been or had even briefly touched, including her apartment in a complex on Marquita Avenue, the complex’s common areas and the car she took to the hospital. Police officers were prohibiting access to her apartment. Officials believe the woman’s pet dog was inside the apartment, but was doing fine.
      “We have a plan in place to take care of the pet, and we do not believe that pet has any signs, and we’ll move accordingly later today,” Mayor Mike Rawlings of Dallas said.
      Remaining calm was easier said than done for many of the woman’s neighbors. Early Sunday, city officials knocked on the doors of nearby homes and called residences in the four blocks surrounding the complex to inform people that someone who lived in the neighborhood had tested positive for Ebola.

      “It’s a little creepy,” said Kara Lutley, 25, who lives across the street from the nurse’s apartment building. “It’s been in Dallas, but it hasn’t been this close.”
      At the hospital, the car the woman arrived in was decontaminated and secured so no one could go near it, officials said. “We decontaminated hand railings, everything in the parking lot, so everybody can feel comfortable that the exterior was taken care of,” Mr. Rawlings said.
      The hospital also took the unusual step on Sunday of prohibiting ambulances from bringing new patients into its emergency room. Officials said that the hospital was open, but that they had decided to put the emergency room on so-called diversion status because of staff limitations. “While we are on diversion we are also using this time to further expand the margin of safety by triple-checking our full compliance with updated C.D.C. guidelines,” hospital officials said in a statement. “We are also continuing to monitor all staff who had some relation to Mr. Duncan’s care even if they are not assumed to be at significant risk of infection.”
      Reporting was contributed by Jack Healy from Dallas; Sabrina Tavernise, Mark Landler and Emmarie Huetteman from Washington; and Denise Grady and Pam Belluck from New York.

      Sunday, October 12, 2014

      5 Ways to Motivate Yourself to Work Harder - TIME

      http://time.com/3486815/motivate-yourself-work-harder/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+timeblogs%2Fcurious_capitalist+%28TIME%3A+Business%29

      Oct. 10, 2014
          

      You know success comes down to hard work. Now all you need are the tools to help you actually put in the hours



      Most of the time there’s no mystery to success–it comes down to simply putting in the hours and the sweat. But as we all know, the gap between knowing what’s required and actually getting yourself to do it can be vast.
      How do you cross that chasm? That’s what a recent visitor to question-and-answer Quora wanted to know, asking “How can I motivate myself to work hard?” The query apparently touched a nerve, as a host of respondents piled on with several hundred answers, ranging from spiritual pep talks to nitty-gritty time-management strategies. For those struggling to make sure their energy and commitment match their aspirations, it’s a goldmine of assistance. Here are a few of the best responses:

      1. Get clear on the end goal

      The trick to keeping your motivation up through low points and exhausted periods, traveler Marie Stein insists, isn’t any particular productivity technique or energy-boosting idea; rather, it’s being really, really clear about why you’re doing what you doing.
      “There is only one way for me to motivate myself to work hard: I don’t think about it as hard work. I think about it as part of making myself into who I want to be,” she writes. “The ‘hard’ part for me is choosing and accepting what it is that I have to do… Once I’ve made the choice to do something, I try not to think so much about how difficult or frustrating or impossible that might be; I just think about how good it must feel to be that, or how proud I might be to have done that.”
      Struggling to keep your focus on that end vision? “Just ask yourself: If you were the person that you want to be, then what would that person do?” suggests student Karl Bradley Saclolo.

      2. Take care of yourself physically

      Sometimes the problem isn’t mental, it’s physical. Your willpower can be at an all-time high, but if you don’t have the physical energy to complete your work, keeping your motivation up is still going to be difficult.
      “Are you tired a lot? Do you get enough sleep? Do you experience some constant unpleasantness, such as poor sinuses or a constant pain? Are you sad or upset or just lethargic all the time for no reason you can pinpoint?” asks freelance writer April Gunn. If so, “get to a doctor if you can for a routine physical, just to make sure everything is working properly. Try your best to get seven to nine hours of sleep a night. Listen to your body when it’s telling you things, seek out the causes of your discomfort, and deal with them as best you can.
      “It’s really hard to get and stay motivated to work hard if you’re not feeling your best,” she concludes.

      3. Think habits, not motivation

      Getting yourself to do something again and again by sheer force of will is extremely difficult. Getting yourself to do something by force of habit is easier. “Because motivation/willpower is a limited resource, it has helped me to instead build habits which, once instilled, don’t use willpower,” explains entrepreneur Bud Hennekes. “Start with small habits that help you be more productive and make you feel good. For example, you could aim to walk 15 minutes a day or work in short bursts of intense focus.”
      Entrepreneur James Clear has endorsed this advice on Inc.com, though he frames it a bit differently. Rather than habits, he talks about the power of “schedules,” but whichever term you use, the effect is the same–automating a behavior by integrating it into your routine means you rely less on willpower.

      4. Embrace discomfort

      Manager Mart Nijland suggests that those struggling with motivation remember the wisdom of bodybuilders: no pain, no gain. It is a cliche, but there’s no way to expand your abilities without going outside your comfort zone, so stop letting a little bit of unpleasantness sap your motivation. In fact, struggling a little is a good sign.
      “For anything you want to work harder for, you have to go beyond that threshold,” he writes, “because you grow into a totally different, much stronger person.”

      5. Bribe (or punish) yourself

      Not all routes to improved motivation are high-minded. One of the more effective ways will also motivate your dog–simple reward and punishment. “Make yourself an offer that you can’t refuse,” suggests analyst Deepak Singh (but don’t go as far as Don Corleone, please).

      Both positive and negative incentives can work. “For example, if you want to read a book, set a deadline and a reward. Say, if you love ice cream, you could eat some as soon as you finish the book,” suggests Singh. It might not sound very grand, but pushing yourself to complete a task by dangling treats (or the threat of public humiliation or a pay-out on a bet with a friend) appears to be effective.

      Saturday, October 11, 2014

      The Economic Costs of Ebola Are Rising Too - TIME

      http://time.com/3488874/ebola-economic-cost/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+timeblogs%2Fcurious_capitalist+%28TIME%3A+Business%29

      Oct. 10, 2014
          

      The longer the outbreak lasts and the farther the disease travels, the harder it will hit global growth


      A few days ago I was about to board a flight from Beijing to Moscow and I called my mother in New Jersey to tell her I was going on the road. “Be very careful!” she exclaimed, with more angst in her voice than usual. I told her that even though relations between the U.S. and Russia were strained that I’d be perfectly fine in Moscow. But that’s not what she was worried about. “Be careful of Ebola!” she said.
      I was, of course, traveling nowhere near any Ebola-hit region — the disease has so far been generally confined to far-off West Africa. Her fear, though, is very real, and to a certain extent, rational. When an epidemic of a disease as deadly as Ebola infects the world’s headlines, it is only natural for people to consider curtailing their travel and other usually normal activities in an attempt to avoid the virus. As the disease spreads, people will become more likely to postpone business trips or cancel family vacations.

      And that ultimately could have serious economic consequences. Nothing of course is more tragic than the human cost of the Ebola outbreak. But as the crisis persists, economists are beginning to look at what the toll might be for the global economy as well. In a world still climbing out of the financial meltdown of six years ago, we can hardly afford any new disruptions to investment and consumer spending that could further drag down growth.
      That, however, is exactly what a sustained Ebola epidemic could do. We can get a pretty good idea of what can happen from looking at the impact of SARS in East Asia in 2003. Wherever the disease went, people stopped doing what they would normally do, in order to protect themselves, and that had an immediate effect on demand. Restaurants that would usually be jam-packed in central Hong Kong appeared abandoned; flights almost always crammed took off nearly empty; hotels emptied. Though the overall economic damage from SARS was in the end minimal, since it was contained relatively quickly, if the disease had spread more widely or become more entrenched, the cost would have risen precipitously.
      We can already see that happening in West Africa. A recent World Bank study estimated that if the epidemic is not contained quickly, it would cost Liberia 12% of its GDP by the end of 2015, and Sierra Leone 8.9% — a loss these poor nations can ill afford. If the outbreak spreads more widely to neighboring countries with larger populations and economies, the World Bank figures the two-year financial cost could reach $32.6 billion. Travel to the region has already plummeted. John Grant, executive vice president of aviation-information provider OAG, recently calculated that the number of scheduled flights out of the worst-hit countries have dropped by 64% since May. Major carriers including British Airways and Delta Air Lines have suspended flights. The president of Dubai-based Emirates noted that the Ebola outbreak has dampened demand in Asia for flights to Africa.
      What makes these losses even more unfortunate is that Africa has been in the middle of a major economic revival. For much of the past half-century, poor governance, bad policy and recurring conflict kept Africa on the sidelines of a major surge in growth and wealth throughout much of the developing world, especially in Asia. But in recent years Africa has finally joined the growth party. The International Monetary Fund expects the GDP of sub-Saharan Africa to jump 5.1% in 2014 — faster than any other region of the developing world except for emerging Asia. For now, the IMF sees the impact of Ebola on Africa overall as limited. But if the disease spreads, it could derail what was becoming one of the most encouraging stories in the emerging world.
      From a purely economic standpoint, the fact that the countries with the most severe Ebola outbreaks (Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea) are small and play a relatively minor role in world trade has minimized the impact the disease has had on the global economy. That, however, would change dramatically if Ebola spreads to larger economies that are more integrated into global finance and manufacturing. Imagine the chaos that could ensue if the empty restaurants and airplanes experienced in the SARS outbreak are repeated in New York City or London for any significant period of time and you’ll get an inkling of the damage Ebola could inflict on the world economy. That’s why the Ebola deaths recorded in the U.S. and Spain are of great economic significance.
      “A sustained outbreak of a high mortality disease like Ebola in any large or important economy in the global supply chain would imply significantly larger impact than SARS caused,” Barclays analyst Marvin Barth wrote in a recent report. Such a situation, he added, “remains a tail risk, but has jumped in probability to one that can no longer be ignored.”

      Predicting where Ebola might spread and how long the outbreak could last is, of course, impossible, and so is gauging its potential economic impact. What is clear, however, is that containing the disease is not just a humanitarian necessity but an economic imperative.