Monday, October 3, 2016

Donald Trump’s ‘Fiduciary Duty’ Excuse on Taxes Is Just Plain Wrong - TIME

Posted: 03 Oct 2016 05:06 AM PDT

It’s hard to know what to say to the New York Times’ revelation that Donald Trump lost so much money running various casino and hotel businesses into the ground in the mid-1990s ($916 million to be exact) that he could have avoided paying taxes for a full 18 years as a result (which may account for why he hasn’t voluntarily released his returns—they would make him look like a failure).
But predictably, Trump did have a response – fiduciary duty made me do it. So, how does the excuse stack up? Does Donald Trump, or any taxpayer, have a “fiduciary duty,” or legal responsibility, to maximize his income or minimize his payments on his personal taxes? In a word, no. “His argument is legal nonsense,” says Cornell University corporate and business law professor Lynn Stout, author of “The Shareholder Value Myth,” and one of the smartest people I know on such matters. “If such an idea were true, we would breach our duties to ourselves by making charitable contributions (which reduce our income) and by earning income in the first place (which increases our taxes). The concept of fiduciary duty simply doesn’t apply to individual decisions to earn income, make charitable contributions, or refrain from using tax loopholes.”
In a way, the very notion of bringing “fiduciary duty” into a conversation about bankruptcy-related tax losses would seem to give credence to the idea that he actually did run his businesses into the ground, something he’s thus-far denied (Trump and his camp are always quick to point that he never went into Chapter 11 – only the corporations he either ran or had a stake in did). But then, there are so many worms in the can that the Donald has just opened with the “fiduciary” comment, it’s hard to know where to begin with a critique.
As Stout points out, Trump and his campaign seem to be parroting the flawed argument sometimes made by business executives seeking to defend irresponsible or unethical corporate behavior—“fiduciary duty made me do it,” with “it” meaning everything from orchestrating dicey mergers to turn a quick buck, offshoring jobs to cut costs in a way that increases corporate risk (remember the Rana Plaza disaster in Bangladesh?) or using spare cash to bolster the stock price with buybacks rather than making long term investments in things like worker training, better pay and benefits, or new product research and development.
Yet even in public companies, experts say that there is no enforceable legal duty to “maximize shareholder value”—the business judgment rule protects independent directors’ decisions about the best way to serve the interests of the corporation and its shareholders, including decisions that reduce share price or profits in the foreseeable future. Despite what corporate leaders (and people like Trump) might say, there’s actually considerable wiggle room in the law that allows a CEO to do the right thing. But of course, he (or she) has to want to.
The mythology of shareholder “value” and the corporate excuse of fiduciary duty as a reason to make really dumb and selfish decisions to turn a quick buck has long been a pet peeve of mine. The idea that companies should be explicitly managed for the benefit of shareholders, and shareholders alone, to the exclusion of anyone or anything else, is an odd system in the global context. Most firms in Germany, China, France, and Scandinavia, along with many others in countries like India and Brazil, aren’t primarily managed this way. Indeed, it took quite a while for American business leaders to buy into the idea, despite the fact that it was being pushed vigorously in both business schools and the markets.
As recently as 1990, the Business Roundtable, a group of CEOs from America’s largest and most powerful companies, said in its mission statement that it was “the directors’ responsibility to carefully weigh the interests of all stakeholders as part of their responsibility to the corporation or to the long-term interests of its shareholders.” Seven years later, though, the group had finally caved, rewriting the statement to say that “the paramount duty of management and of boards of directors is to the corporation’s stockholders; the interests of other stakeholders are relevant as a derivative of the duty to stockholders.”
Today, whether they believe it or not, it’s rare to find a CEO of a public company who doesn’t publicly buy into the idea of shareholder value. Indeed, the only leaders who can openly question this notion and get away with it tend to be high-profile founder-owners who have a certain cult of personality (think Jack Ma, or Howard Schultz—and even they get plenty of blowback). Yet shareholder value isn’t value if it involves doing things that eventually put companies into bankruptcy. Executives have a fiduciary responsibility to create shared value – not just hike quarterly profits – because this is the only way to create any value at all over the long term, which is what shareholder value is supposed to be about. What’s more, fiduciary duty is about taking care of others. When it comes to Trump and his businesses, one thing is very clear – others always end up with the short end of the stick.

Google, Facebook and More Join Forces for Ethical AI - Fortune

Posted: 29 Sep 2016 07:30 AM PDT

Five tech giants announced on Wednesday that they are launching a nonprofit to “advance public understanding” of artificial intelligence and to formulate “best practices on the challenges and opportunities within the field.”
The Partnership on Artificial Intelligence to Benefit People and Society is being formed by Amazon, Facebook, Google, IBM, and Microsoft, each of which will have a representative on the group’s 10-member board.
The partnership will conduct research and recommend best practices relating to “ethics, fairness and inclusivity; transparency, privacy, and interoperability; collaboration between people and AI systems; and the trustworthiness, reliability and robustness of the technology,” according to the announcement. “It does not intend to lobby government or other policymaking bodies.”

“We’re in a golden age of machine learning and AI,” said Ralf Herbrich, the director of machine learning at Amazon, in a prepared statement. “This partnership will ensure we’re including the best and the brightest in this space in the conversation to improve customer trust and benefit society.” (Herbrich will be Amazon’s representative on the board.)
The remainder of the board will be filled with representatives from academia and the non-profit world, according to a press release, which also indicates that the group is already in discussions with the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence and the Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence. Additional corporate participants are also expected, it noted. (Google’s representative on the board will come from its London-based AI unit DeepMind, which developed software that, this past March, defeated the world champion in the ancient Chinese game of Go.)
In the past five years, technological progress and optimism about AI has been exploding, in part due to breakthroughs in a subfield known as deep learning—or, more properly, deep neural networks. Neural networks are software constructs, originally inspired by the way the brain works, that enable machines to teach themselves how to recognize complex patterns. They have already been responsible for enormous strides in machine translation, natural language processing, image recognition, and computer vision, unleashing among other things progress toward making self-driving cars a reality. They’re also the technology that has made speech recognition—which powers Amazon’s Alexa to Apple’s Siri to Microsoft’s Cortana to Google Now—dramatically better than it used to be.
The new partnership comes as its members increasingly use artificial intelligence to compete with one another in categories such as consumer electronics and business productivity software. It appears to be aimed, at least in part, at dispelling and defusing public concerns about artificial intelligence, a phrase that often inspires both rational and irrational fears. The rational ones include the prospect of economic dislocation and loss of jobs, while irrational ones—or at least premature ones—embrace science-fiction scenarios, in which robots rule the earth or society confronts the so-called singularity. (The singularity is the hypothesized point at which machines with superhuman intelligence begin to upgrade themselves without human oversight, starting a runaway cycle that leaves lowly humans ever farther in the dust.)
Earlier this year, Tesla and Space X CEO Elon Musk expressed his concerns that robo-investors could start wars as a way to maximize profits in Lo and Behold, the latest film by German filmmaker Werner Herzog.
“As researchers in industry, we take very seriously the trust people have in us to ensure advances are made with utmost consideration for human values,” Facebook’s Yann LeCun said in another statement accompanying the press release. LeCun, the director of Facebook’s AI research and its representative on the new partnership’s board, is a pioneer in the field of deep learning.
The recent upsurge of interest in AI has been reflected in burgeoning investment in AI-focused startups. Equity funding of such startups reached an all-time high last quarter of more than $1 billion, according to the CB Insights research firm. More than $7.5 billion has been sunk into such startups since 2011—with more than $6 billion of that coming since 2014.
This article originally appeared on Fortune.com

Lawmakers Slam Wells Fargo CEO at House Financial Services Committee Hearing - TIME Business

Posted: 29 Sep 2016 09:26 AM PDT

WASHINGTON — Angry lawmakers heaped another round of blistering criticism on Wells Fargo’s CEO, pressing Thursday for details about what senior managers knew about allegedly illegal sales practices and when any concerns were disclosed.
Chief Executive John Stumpf, newly stripped of tens of millions in compensation, told the House Financial Services Committee that the bank is expanding its review of accounts and will evaluate executives’ roles. But as during the grilling he received last week from a Senate panel, Stumpf remained on the defensive.
Several lawmakers, both Republican and Democrat, alleged that Wells Fargo’s sales practices may have violated federal laws, including the federal racketeering laws, which would constitute a criminal offense. Federal regulators have not said if they have referred the Wells Fargo case to the Department of Justice.

“Fraud is fraud. Theft is theft,” committee head Rep. Jeb Hensarling, R-Texas, told Stumpf.
Stumpf reiterated his words of last week, that he was “deeply sorry.” He said the bank was looking at accounts further back, to 2009, and that bank executives’ roles will be reviewed “across the board” in an inquiry by Wells Fargo’s outside directors.
U.S. and California regulators have fined San Francisco-based Wells Fargo $185 million, saying bank employees trying to meet sales targets, opened up to 2 million fake deposit and credit card accounts without customers’ knowledge. Regulators said they issued and activated debit cards, and signed people up for online banking without permission. The abuses are said to have gone on for years, unchecked by senior management.
Stumpf came under a sustained assault from lawmakers, who face re-election in a little over a month. He insisted that Wells Fargo had taken actions prior to 2013 to bolster its legal compliance and maintain high ethical standards. He bristled at depictions of the culture of Wells Fargo — a bank with origins in the California gold rush — as elevating sales and profits at the expense of ethics.
“This is the behavior of people that we found, that we did not want,” Stumpf insisted.
For many of the angered lawmakers, the scandal is personal. They hold accounts with Wells Fargo or have taken out mortgages. “If I could, I’d pay it back,” said Hensarling.
Republican Rep. Patrick McHenry, who represents North Carolina — where Wells has a large presence due to its purchase of Wachovia in 2008 — was particularly incensed. “You have broken long-standing ethical standards inside the company.” McHenry said.
Stumpf noted new leadership at the retail bank business and the accelerated elimination of sales goals. He said no executives above the branch manager level appeared to be aware of the misconduct.
He also cited the compensation he must return. The Wells Fargo board said it is stripping Stumpf and the executive who ran the retail banking division of millions of dollars in pay. Stumpf, who earned $19.3 million last year, will forfeit $41 million in stock awards.
He also is giving up any bonuses for this year, as is Carrie Tolstedt, the former head of the retail operation. Tolstedt is forfeiting $19 million of her stock awards, and her planned departure was made immediate.
Members of Congress also raised question whether other banks had similar toxic sales cultures like Wells. “We have Wells Fargo before me, but I don’t think you should be alone in this joyous experience,” said Rep. Brad Sherman, D-California.
Stumpf insisted customers’ loyalty to Wells Fargo remains as strong as ever. He also defended his dual roles as chief executive and chairman, positions that some critics have suggested should be split.
Members of Congress also pushed Stumpf on when he informed Wells Fargo’s board about the sales practice scandal, and whether Wells may have violated Securities and Exchange Commission regulations by not informing investors.
Rep. Carolyn Maloney, a New York Democrat, asked Stumpf about his personal sales of company shares at a time when she said he apparently had learned about the fake-account sales practices. Stumpf said he sold the stock with the proper ethics approvals and “with no view” of any misconduct at the bank.
Stumpf also said Wells did not put language in their regulatory filings until this summer, three years after a Los Angeles Times investigation and a year after a Los Angeles City Attorney’s lawsuit.
Stumpf again promised action to make things right for customers who were affected. Customers already have been refunded $2.6 million in fees slapped on unauthorized products, the bank says.
The consumer banking giant, which is also the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, fired about 5,300 employees starting in 2011 in connection with the sales practices. Stumpf said all of the terminated employees were fired because of unethical conduct — not because they failed to meet sales goals.
Whether the unusual takeback from his compensation will be enough to save Stumpf’s job is hard to say.
It was “a step in the right direction, but there are still dozens of unanswered questions,” said Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, the Senate Banking Committee’s senior Democrat. He and the other Democrats on the panel asked Stumpf on Wednesday to answer a series of 58 questions, including nearly two dozen that they said he failed to answer at the hearing last week or for which he promised to provide fuller information.
Few top bank executives have had their compensation clawed back in the years since the financial crisis starting in 2008. While unusual, the move by the board “was the right thing to do,” said Charles Elson, a professor and director of the Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance at the University of Delaware.

Sunday, October 2, 2016

Why Singapore fear China over South China Sea dispute ? - Bloomberg

The risk of a clash in the South China Sea lies with non-military ships, Singapore’s defense minister said, as China deploys more heavily armed coast guard vessels in the disputed waters.
Singapore has joined other nations in the region and the U.S. in warning the reliance on fishing boats and coast guards to assert territorial claims in the South China Sea raises the prospect of an incident. China has used its so-called white hull fleet to chase and shoo ships including fishing boats from other countries away from the reefs it claims.
A practical concern for nations whose ships travel through the area -- it’s a key shipping lane that carries as much as $5 trillion in trade a year -- is how to develop processes to defuse incidents as they occur, Ng Eng Hen told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting of Southeast Asian and U.S. defense ministers in Hawaii.
“It may have, in fact, very little to do with military ships” given an agreed code in place for navies, he said. “But you may have incidents arising from fishing, you may have incidents arising from white ships,” Ng said. “Whatever color ships they are, they can precipitate incidents.”
Singapore is not a claimant in the South China Sea, and Ng said China is “not a threat to us.” Still, it has called for a reduction in tensions and for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations to take a more united approach to resolving the disputes. The South China Sea has become a flashpoint for the broader tussle between China and the U.S. for influence in the western Pacific as President Xi Jinping seeks to build his country into a regional power.
“We are interested in the South China Sea because it is a major shipping route, and a lot of economies depend on it,” Ng said. “We think that uncertainty may lead to incidents.”

China’s assertions cross over those of nations including Vietnam, the Philippines and Malaysia, and it has reclaimed thousands of acres in the waters in recent years, adding airstrips and fighter jets. An arbitration court in the Hague in July ruled in favor of a Philippine challenge to China’s territorial claims, but that has not deterred China from continuing to beef up its presence in the waters.
Ministers in Hawaii talked about how to prevent an escalation in tensions and how to keep communication open, Ng said. “We talked about forums at which we can bring up disputes,” he said. “We talked about how we can resolve disputes.”
ministers or leaders have failed to take a tough stance on the disputes. Asean statements have not mentioned China by name, while expressing concern about developments in the South China Sea.
Asean operates on consensus and it only takes one member state to disagree for a statement to be torpedoed. A meeting of foreign ministers in China in June ended in confusion after Malaysia released and then retracted a joint Asean statement that cited China for the first time over its behavior. Observers said at the time that smaller states like Cambodia could be swayed by Chinese pressure.
That has led several Asean states to publicly call for greater unity for the bloc, amid concerns about its effectiveness going forward.
The South China Sea is a “problem of positions,” Ng said. Still, “we have often said that whether you are claimants or non-claimants, whether you are China, U.S. or other countries, I think there is wisdom in the system to understand what it is you are really fighting over. I do not see it as an immediate threat.”

Trump declared $916 million loss for 1995 tax return - CBS News

AM EDT
In 1995, Donald Trump declared a $916 million loss on his income tax returns, The New York Times reported Saturday.
This loss would have generated a tax deduction so substantial, according to the Times, that he would be able “to avoid paying any federal income taxes for “up to 18 years.”
The information was mailed to the Times in an envelope that bore a New York City postmark and listed a return address at Trump Tower. The mailing was not the totality of Trump’s 1995 tax returns, but rather the first page of his New York, New Jersey and Connecticut tax returns.
The Times consulted tax experts whose analysis suggested that Trump “almost certainly” carried forward operating losses from the early 1990s, from three casinos and a hotel in Atlantic City, an airline, the Plaza Hotel and a yacht.
In response, the Trump campaign lashed out at the Times Saturday night in a statement, saying, “The only news here is that the more than 20-year-old alleged tax document was illegally obtained,” which it went on to say, demonstrated that the Times and establishment media in general were “an extension of the Clinton campaign, Democratic party and their global special interests.”
However, the campaign statement also did not deny or confirm the authenticity of the documents published. “Mr. Trump is a highly-skilled businessman who has a fiduciary responsibility to his business, his family and his employees to pay no more tax than legally required,” it said, reiterating a sentiment routinely expressed by Trump and his aides during the campaign.  “That being said, Mr. Trump has paid hundreds of millions of dollars in property taxes, sales and excise taxes, real estate taxes, city taxes, state taxes, employee taxes and federal taxes.” 
The statement went on to praise the GOP nominee’s mastery of the tax code. “Mr. Trump knows the tax code far better than anyone who has ever run for President and he is the only one that knows how to fix it,” it said.  
Hillary Clinton’s campaign respondede to the “bombshell report.” 
“This bombshell report reveals the colossal nature of Donald Trump’s past business failures and just how long he may have avoided paying any federal income taxes whatsoever,” it said in a statement Saturday night. It went on to say, “He stiffed small businesses, laid off workers, and walked away from hardworking communities. And how did it work out for him? He apparently got to avoid paying taxes for nearly two decades -- while tens of millions of working families paid theirs.” 
Clinton’s campaign also renewed its call on Trump to release his full tax returns, “to show us all how ‘smart’ he really is,” an allusion to a retort he made in their first debate days earlier.
At the Hofstra debate, Clinton prodded him to release his returns, referring to an earlier report by Politico that “the only years that anybody’s ever seen were a couple of years when he had to turn them over to state authorities when he was trying to get a casino license, and they showed he didn’t pay any federal income tax.” And Trump interjected at that moment,  “That makes me smart.”
CBS News’ Sopan Deb and Hannah Fraser-Chanpong contributed to this report

Lesson to be learned by all leaders from Trump's failed debate - New York Times

A big takeaway for leaders in all sectors. 

Among the many questions raised by Monday’s presidential debate – Who won? Was Hillary Clinton wearing an earpiece? Why was Donald Trump sniffling? – was this one: Does rehearsing pay? Clinton reportedly rehearsed intensively, while Trump reportedly didn’t rehearse at all.
The most impartial judges of the outcome, markets in currencies, commodities, and stocks, declared Clinton the winner. Whether rehearsing pays in presidential debates may nonetheless remain one of those eternally unanswered questions, but in business the answer is absolutely clear. Rehearsal pays big, and most companies fail to achieve anything near its potential value.

Donald Trump at the presidential debate last night at Hofstra University. Photograph by Getty Images

A big takeaway for leaders in all sectors. 

Among the many questions raised by Monday’s presidential debate – Who won? Was Hillary Clinton wearing an earpiece? Why was Donald Trump sniffling? – was this one: Does rehearsing pay? Clinton reportedly rehearsed intensively, while Trump reportedly didn’t rehearse at all.
The most impartial judges of the outcome, markets in currencies, commodities, and stocks, declared Clinton the winner. Whether rehearsing pays in presidential debates may nonetheless remain one of those eternally unanswered questions, but in business the answer is absolutely clear. Rehearsal pays big, and most companies fail to achieve anything near its potential value.
For an example, check out this Fortune article on the value of rehearsing your business’s response to a data breach. As it makes clear, simply bringing together your top executives plus key players from all major functions – IT, legal, communications, sales, marketing – and putting them through a simulated breach is guaranteed to reveal surprising gaps in your preparations. Diana Kelley, executive security adviser at IBM, cites new research showing how rehearsals can lower the costs of a breach.
More broadly, rehearsing crises that would be most damaging to your business, such as a deadly food-safety problem at a restaurant chain, will always pay dividends. Plenty of other skills can be improved vastly through rehearsal. Salespeople who relentlessly rehearse selling almost always outperform those who don’t. Some companies have even worked up highly realistic simulations of critical processes – such as packing and shipping high-value perishable bio-pharmaceuticals – in order to perform better and cut losses. The results have been spectacular.
Sign up for daily insights, updates, and opinion on leadership and leaders in the news at the Power Sheet.
So here’s the strange part: Hardly any companies do this, even though we all know it works. We watch football teams that practice six days a week and play one day. We make our kids practice the piano or clarinet every day for a recital every six months. We know it works. But on Monday morning we forget all of it and do the exact opposite. I once calculated that Jerry Rice, the greatest receiver in the history of football, spent about 3% of his football-related time actually playing in games. He spent the other 97% practicing. In business, we’re lucky if our ratio is the inverse and we spend 3% of our time practicing. Usually it’s 0%. We’re supposed to spend 100% of our time out there performing. And then company leaders are frustrated and baffled that the company isn’t performing better.
If you dare to raise the practice-to-performance ratio at your business, you’ll be out of the mainstream. You won’t be doing what your company’s peers are doing. Have the courage to defy convention. That’s one thing that distinguishes the best leaders from the rest.

Philippines' president Duterte's most contentious quotes - New York Times

Philippines has a reputation for frank – and frankly offensive – speechmaking that electrifies his constituents as often as it angers other countries. 
He has made the extrajudicial killing of drug dealers and users the cornerstone of his domestic policy. 
  1. 1.“Hitler massacred three million Jews. Now, there is three million drug addicts. I’d be happy to slaughter them.”
    Mr. Duterte drew international ire after issuing his latest threat against drug dealers and drug addicts on Friday. 
    The president – who underestimated the number of Jews killed in the Holocaust; it was six million – said he was routinely depicted as being a “cousin of Hitler.” 
  2. 2.“Son of a whore. I will curse you in the forum.”
    Mr. Duterte used the expletive, sometimes translated as “son of a bitch,” in a warning to President Obama about bringing up extrajudicial killings at an international forum held in Laos in September.
    Mr. Obama canceled the meeting and Mr. Duterte apologized. The two men met briefly a few days later. 

  3. 3.“You drug pushers, hold-up men and do-nothings, you better go out. Because I’d kill you.”
    While running for president, Mr. Duterte, who had been mayor of Davao City and employed vigilante militias there, promised a similar national strategy against drug dealers. 
    He told voters: “Forget the laws on human rights. If I make it to the presidential palace, I will do just what I did as mayor.”
    In the same campaign speech, Mr. Duterte said he would dump the bodies of slain drug dealers “into Manila Bay, and fatten all the fish there.”
  4. 4.“Please don’t order me around. … Or would you rather that I declare martial law?”
    In August, Mr. Duterte warned Maria Lourdes Sereno, the chief justice of the Supreme Court of the Philippines, that if she tried to thwart his drug war he would declare martial law. 
    The threat was made after the judge responded to Mr. Duterte’s accusations that several judges were drug addicts. 
  5. 5.“I was angry because she was raped. That’s one thing. But she was so beautiful. The mayor should have been first.”
    He joked at a campaign event in April about the rape and murder of an Australian missionary by inmates during a prison riot in Davao when he was mayor in 1989. 
  6. 6.“I wanted to call him: ‘Pope, son of a whore, go home. Do not visit us again.’”
    Mr. Duterte complained that Pope Francis’ visit to the Philippines, a majority Catholic country, led him to become snarled in a traffic jam in January 2015. 
    After bishops condemned him for his language, Mr. Duterte apologized. 
  7. 7.“I was separated from my wife. I’m not impotent. What am I supposed to do? Let this hang forever? When I take Viagra, it stands up.”
    Addressing business leaders at a campaign event in April, Mr. Duterte bragged about his reputation as a womanizer.

Saturday, October 1, 2016

Gallup Poll puts Clinton as winner of first debate by huge margin - CNN


Clinton beats Trump in first debate by a large margin


Hillary Clinton won the first presidential debate by a huge margin of victory, besting Donald Trump in public perception by 34 points, according to a Gallup poll out Thursday.
Gallup found that Americans who saw the debate believed Clinton was the runaway victor, 61 percent to Trump’s 27 percent. That 34-point advantage is one of the highest margins post-debate since the 1960s.
Clinton’s debate victory was about as strong as her husband’s in his first 1996 debate with Bob Dole, but fell short of Mitt Romney’s first 2012 debate over President Obama, where the Republican nominee had a 52-point advantage.
Historically, however, winning a first debate doesn’t necessarily augur victory at the polls. President Obama overtook Romney in the following two debates in 2012, and while John Kerry was believed to be the clear winner of all three presidential debates, George W. Bush still won the election in 2004. 
Clinton’s popularity post-debate was boosted by her support among those in her own party. Ninety-two percent of Democrats said she did a better job than Trump, while only 53 percent of Republicans believed Trump came out the winner. Gallup also found that 59 percent of independents thought Clinton won, compared to the 30 percent who thought Trump did. 
Clinton also scored big when it came to the qualities she exhibited during the debate. On all the characteristics Gallup asked voters about, Clinton prevailed over Trump: she appeared to be more inspiring (46 percent to Trump’s 34 percent), was more likable (55 to 36 percent), appeared presidential (59 percent to 27 percent), and exhibited a better understanding of the issues (62 to 26 percent).
Gallup conducted the poll from Sept. 27-28 with 1,020 adults nationally, including 791 who said they watched or heard the debate.

Friday, September 30, 2016

Philippines president Duterte likens himself to Hitler to kill 3 million drug addicts - Reuters

By Karen Lema and Manuel Mogato | MANILA
Philippines President Rodrigo Duterte appeared to liken himself to Nazi leader Adolf Hitler on Friday and said he would "be happy" to exterminate three million drug users and peddlers in the country.
His comments triggered shock and anger among Jewish groups in the United States, which will add to pressure on the U.S. government to take a tougher line with the Philippines leader. Duterte recently insulted President Barack Obama and in a series of remarks he has undermined the previously close relationship between Manila and Washington.
In a rambling speech on his arrival in Davao City after a visit to Vietnam, Duterte told reporters that he had been "portrayed to be a cousin of Hitler" by critics. 
Noting that Hitler had murdered millions of Jews, Duterte said: "There are three million drug addicts (in the Philippines). I'd be happy to slaughter them.
"If Germany had Hitler, the Philippines would have...," he said, pausing and pointing to himself. 
"You know my victims. I would like (them) to be all criminals to finish the problem of my country and save the next generation from perdition."
Duterte was voted to power in a May election on the back of a vow to end drugs and corruption in the country of 100 million people. He took office on June 30 and over 3,100 people have been killed since then, mostly alleged drug users and dealers, in police operations and in vigilante killings.
His comments were quickly condemned by Jewish groups.
Rabbi Abraham Cooper, head of the Simon Wiesenthal Center's Digital Terrorism and Hate project, called them "outrageous".
"Duterte owes the victims (of the Holocaust) an apology for his disgusting rhetoric."
The Anti-Defamation League, an international Jewish group based in the United States, said Duterte's comments were "shocking for their tone-deafness".
"The comparison of drug users and dealers to Holocaust victims is inappropriate and deeply offensive," said Todd Gutnick, the group's director of communications. "It is baffling why any leader would want to model himself after such a monster."
EX-PRESIDENT'S WARNING
Two days before the Philippines election, outgoing President Benigno Aquino had warned that Duterte's rising popularity was akin to that of Hitler in the 1920s and 1930s.
"I hope we learn the lessons of history," Aquino said in widely reported remarks. "We should remember how Hitler came to power."
Duterte has been scathing about criticism of his anti-drugs campaign and has insulted the United Nations and the European Union, as well as Obama, at various times in recent weeks.
On Friday, reacting to critical comments on his war on drugs by U.S. Senators Patrick Leahy and Benjamin Cardin, Duterte said: "Do not pretend to be the moral conscience of the world. Do not be the policeman because you do not have the eligibility to do that in my country."
He also reiterated there will be no annual war games between the Philippines and the United States until the end of his six-year term, placing the longstanding alliance under a cloud of doubt. It also may make Washington's strategy of rebalancing its military focus towards Asia in the face of an increasingly assertive China much more difficult to achieve.
Still, U.S. Defence Secretary Ash Carter, speaking before the latest remarks from Duterte, said Washington had an "ironclad" alliance with Manila.
A senior U.S. defense official, also speaking earlier, told reporters that the United States had a long enduring relationship with the Philippines regardless of who was president.
"It's going to continue to survive based on what we think are strong U.S.-Philippines common security interests, so we’ll be engaging President Duterte further," the official said.
Malcolm Cook, a senior fellow at Singapore's ISEAS Yusof Ishak Institute, said the U.S-Philippines alliance was not necessarily at risk, but Washington could seek to focus on ties elsewhere in the region.
"We are all in some sense becoming, by necessity, desensitized to Duterte's language," he said.
"Diplomatically, the U.S. would say they'll continue to work with him and the alliance is strong. But it's whether they'll continue to strengthen that alliance or not." 

(Additional reporting by Brendan O'Brien in Milwaukee, Yeganeh Torbati in San Diego and Marius Zaharia in Singapore; Editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan)

Thursday, September 29, 2016

Trump's hair raising economic policy - Financial Times

It’s hard to take Donald Trump’s economic policy proposals seriously. Not just because it’s difficult to pin down what exactly they are. Not just because it’s unclear whether he would actually carry them out or is just trying to capture the voters’ attention. Above all, it’s hard to take them seriously because of the outrageous consequences that become apparent if we do.
A number of competent, independent economists have analysed parts of Trump’s policy proposals, so far as they can make them out, and modelled how the economy would be affected if he were to win and make good on his plans. The results are hair-raising.
Take Trump’s flagship policy of radically changing US trade relationships with the rest of the world. As a briefing by Peterson Institute economists sums up, he has threatened punitive tariffs on Mexican and Chinese imports (he has mooted rates of 35 and 45 per cent, respectively), and to unilaterally withdraw the US from major trade treaties. The Peterson economists have modelled the fallout for the US economy from the trade war that would probably ensue. The bottom line: the US would fall into recession and 4.8m private sector jobs would be lost. That’s about the same as the number of US factory jobs that disappeared in the decade after China joined the World Trade Organisation, the disruption that perhaps did most to create a constituency for Trump. While most of the jobs lost in the modelled scenario would be in the service sector, the largest proportional damage would, ironically, be in manufacturing, in particular in export-oriented capital goods production. (Read the Financial Times write-up of the analysis here.)
That’s just the beginning. Under a president Trump, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, signed but not ratified by the US, would be stillborn. (Hillary Clinton now says she is against the TPP as well, but her earlier wobbling on trade means the deal has a better prospect of surviving on her watch.) That would give up on the additional growth and jobs the TPP would create. Robert Lawrence, also at the Peterson Institute, has pointed out that while small in absolute terms, the TPP’s forecast boost to US GDP is equivalent to the return on $3tn of investment. It would also bring 128,000 more people into work than would otherwise be the case because wages would be higher. And while there would, as with any removal of economic inefficiencies, be losers, “the annual benefits from the TPP are likely to be between 12.3 and 114.5 times the costs”. More than enough, that is, to compensate the losers many times over. That would be the right policy; to jettison the TPP would be to forgo both the gains and the compensation.
Then there are the domestic policies. In his own words, Trump promises “tremendous” tax cuts. For once he’s not exaggerating. He proposes to reduce personal income tax rates, slash corporate tax rates and kill inheritance tax. That would blow a hole in the public finances. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget has examined the two candidates’ tax plans, and calculates that Trump’s policies would add $5.3tn, or one-fifth of annual national income, to the federal debt by 2026 (and that is positively frugal compared with an earlier plan of his, which would have added $11.5tn). If nothing else, a president Trump would make the deficit great again. (Clinton’s plans, meanwhile, raise about as much in new taxes as they commit in new spending.)
Who would benefit? There is a lot of devil in the detail. The change to exemptions for dependants means that many families with children on low to middle earnings would end up paying more in tax than today. On corporate taxation, Trump boasts of getting rid of the disgrace of the “carried interest loophole”, which lets hedge fund managers pass off (more highly taxed) labour income as (much less taxed) capital income. It is true that the Trump tax plan closes this loophole. But he opens a bigger one by introducing an even lower tax rate on all business income, even earnings that are today counted as business owners’ personal income. That would allow hedgies and many other very high earners to pay even less than today’s capital tax rate.
In sum, the ones we can be most sure would benefit from all of Trump’s tax reforms are … Trump and his children.
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