Saturday, December 9, 2017

Bitcoin: 'I'm part of a crazy wave' - BBC News

Bitcoin: 'I'm part of a crazy wave'
By Lucy Hooker & Josh Cheetham
Business reporters, BBC News
8 December 2017
In its early days, Bitcoin might have been dismissed as a quirky tech sector fad.
But it is rapidly evolving into the mainstream and has already made some people rich.
If once Bitcoin was seen as a tool for money launderers and drug dealers, it has recently become as commonplace a topic at middle-class dinner parties as house prices.
There are advertisements on the London Underground proposing ways to invest. It's been on the newspaper front pages.
There are anecdotes of taxi drivers who say they've borrowed money to buy Bitcoin.
And every day, another expert cautions investors that these are just the kinds of things to watch out for if you want to avoid investing in a bubble that's about to burst.
So who is still holding onto their Bitcoins, as the price continues to fluctuate?
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'It's been really exciting... being part of a crazy wave'
Alessandra Sollberger, 29, first invested in Bitcoin in 2012 when each was worth about $9. She had been reading about it on tech blogs.
She says she was intrigued by the concept of this new "libertarian and decentralised perspective".
"I thought, I can put a little bit into it, because I wanted to have a bit of a stake in something I found exciting. A way to be part of what was happening."
When its value rallied in 2013, l she began to cash in her investment
"I had made nine times my investment, which I was pretty satisfied with," she says. She took out £20,000 to start her own London-based "superfoods" business, Evermore Health. Over the years, her Bitcoin stake has yielded £80,000 to support her business.
She's cashed in some to treat herself to a kite-surfing holiday in Zanzibar in the new year. But she still owns the equivalent of about 20 whole Bitcoins, around $300,000 worth, although she has diversified into other digital currencies to hedge her bets.
"It's about being part of this crazy wave," she says.
But she thinks there's a lot of hype. And she's not convinced that out of all the different cryptocurrencies out there, Bitcoin will necessarily be the one that prevails.
"There are currencies that have gone up more than Bitcoin has," she says. pointing out that often the groundbreaking first version of a new technology is overtaken by better models as the market develops.
So does she allow Bitcoin payments at her own business? "We're thinking about it for next year," she says.
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'Obviously the whole thing could go up in a puff of smoke'
Danny Lenihan is a recent investor in Bitcoin and another similar digital currency, Ethereum.
The 45-year-old entrepreneur says he's already doubled his initial investment, but his lack of experience with technology and finance was a barrier at first.
"The biggest thing was finding out how to buy Bitcoin," he says.
"It feels like a real trap, you don't know what's genuine and what's not."
Danny, who lives in Bedford, believes that investing has been a good choice, but he's weary of the risk it can be for some people.
"You tend to get a bit reckless if you see a little bit of success," he says.
"You can get cocky and I think it's when people get the head rush and lose that clinical assessment, that's when people make mistakes."
He's less certain about the future. "Obviously the whole thing could go up in a puff of smoke, as nobody has any real clue what will happen.
"There's no trading history, we're not looking at commodities like oil where there are trading patterns that go back centuries," he adds.
"The more I read differing opinions on whether Bitcoin is a bubble, or the reincarnation of the Tulip bubble in the 1600s, the more I realise that nobody knows anything and on a day-to-day basis it's all just a big gamble."
But so far, Danny says, his gamble is paying off, and he's optimistic about the relevance of cryptocurrencies in years to come.
"We're all trading data - who keeps cash anymore? Bitcoin for me is just another currency I don't have in my pocket."
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'I'm not really sure how much I need to work again'
Saad Naja, 25, is cagey about exactly how much he's made from investing in Bitcoin and other digital currencies, but he will admit it is about six figures and certainly "enough to give up work" if he wanted to.
And he has recently left his day job, but not to lounge around on the beach.
Instead, early next year he's launching a hedge fund investing purely in cryptocurrencies.
The Londoner started out "mining" Bitcoins, which is how the currency is created, on his laptop from his student dorm room five years ago. Until he was threatened with eviction, that is, because of his soaring electricity consumption.
After graduation, he worked for Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank before moving to Gain Capital. But by this year, he was making more from his crypto-sideline than he was at work and "it didn't make sense" to stay.
"I'm not really sure how much I need to work again," he says.
Despite the warnings from much of the investment community that Bitcoin is riding for a fall, he is confident.
"Bitcoin has a loyal and devout following that's the backbone of it at the moment," he says.
"It will fluctuate in price. A correction is imminent, but the general trajectory is up."
Even his 70-year-old mum has spotted that, he says. Recently she told him he should be investing in it.
"She said: I want to buy some. How do I do it?" He told her not to worry - he had that covered.

China fuels Bitcoin surge to record high - CNN Money

China fuels Bitcoin surge to record high
by Ben Rooney @ben_rooney
November 12, 2013: 7:48 AM ET
bitcoin price 111113
Bitcoin prices have soared in the past month, defying skeptics who thought the bubble burst in April.
Bitcoin has been surging to new highs as investors, especially those in China, become increasingly optimistic about the digital currency's potential growth.
The price of one bitcoin hit a record of a record of $395 on Saturday on the Mt. Gox exchange. The virtual currency trades 24/7 on Mt. Gox and other exchanges around the world. Bitcoin was approaching $400 again Tuesday, reaching a high for the day of $391.53 in early morning trading.
Bitcoin was created anonymously in 2010 as an experimental form of money that exists only online. It is not managed by any central authority and is "mined" by solving complex math problems using powerful computers. There is also a finite amount for the number of bitcoins that will ever be in circulation.
It's been an extremely volatile year for Bitcoin, which traded at $20 in December.
The price shot up to $266 in early April, when fears about a bank run in the tiny island nation of Cyprus led to worries about the stability of the euro currency. Once the Cyprus crisis was resolved, Bitcoin prices crashed back to $50 later in April.
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Related: London Bitcoin exchange off to a rocky start
So why is Bitcoin rallying again? The latest surge comes on the heels of strong demand in China, said Nick Colas, market strategist at ConvergEx Group, a global brokerage company based in New York.
"The Chinese demand has been the big driver in the last two weeks," he said. "You can see that in the volume charts."
BTC China, the leading Bitcoin exchange in China, recently surpassed Japan-based Mt. Gox last week in terms of global trading volume for the digital currency.
Related: Bitcoin flaw could let group take control of currency
Bitcoin was recently featured in favorable reports on China's state-run CCTV television network and in government-backed newspapers. It has also gained popularity since Baidu (BIDU), China's leading search engine, announced plans to accept Bitcoin as payment for some services.
"The demand out of China has been pretty staggering," said Barry Silbert, founder and CEO of SecondMarket, the parent company of Bitcoin Investment Trust, which was recently launched as the first U.S.-based investment fund dedicated just to Bitcoin.
"We're seeing the early signs of money coming into Bitcoin as an asset class," Silbert said.
The Bitcoin Investment Trust has amassed $15 million since it launched in September. The fund had expected to end the year with $10 million, according to Silbert. "We're seeing significant interest," he said.
Colas added that investors have been encouraged by recent research reports on Bitcoin from two branches of the Federal Reserve. The Chicago Fed concluded that while mainstream use of Bitcoins are still limited, the online currency is a "remarkable conceptual and technical achievement" that could eventually be used by banks and governments.
While it is still a very volatile currency, investors are becoming increasingly confident that Bitcoin has staying power.
"There is some lasting value to the idea," said Colas. "[Bitcoin] could have gone away after the bubble burst in April, but it didn't."
Bitcoin mania is back! But is it a bubble?
Bitcoin is also often discussed as an alternative to gold, since many investors see the digital currency as a way to store value.
Raoul Pal, who writes the investment newsletter The Global Macro Investor, compared Bitcoin with gold to come up with a "broad guestimate" for how investors should value the currency.
In a report published earlier this month, Pal said that based on the supply of gold and Bitcoin, the digital currency should be worth about 700 ounces of gold, which works out to just under $900,000 at current prices.
"I personally believe that Bitcoin may well explode in value as more and more people begin to use it," said Pal.
Of course, Bitcoin is still a very risky investment.
A look at rebuilt drug bazaar Silk Road
A look at rebuilt drug bazaar Silk Road
Another big concern for Bitcoin? The government recently shut down Silk Road, an online market for drugs and other illicit items, which relied on Bitcoins transactions to maintain anonymity. But several Silk Road offshoots have recently surfaced.
Senate lawmakers will hold a hearing next week to explore the pros and cons of Bitcoin.
Silbert expects Bitcoin prices to remain volatile, but he said investors who are willing to take a gamble stand to win big if Bitcoin lives up to its potential.
"Bitcoin has the potential to completely change the way people think about money," he said. "It's one of the biggest ideas probably since the Internet. And as an investment opportunity, it has significant upside."
Nonetheless, the average investor still needs to be a bit cautious. Nobody looking to buy one bitcoin for around $400 should have the realistic expectation of becoming a Bitcoin millionaire.
CNNMoney (New York)
First published November 12, 2013: 7:48 AM ET

Why China wants to dominate Bitcoin - CNN Money

Why China wants to dominate Bitcoin
by Stan Stalnaker @CNNMoneyInvest
November 18, 2013: 10:15 AM ET
china bitcoin
China is quickly moving to become one of the leading players in the Bitcoin market.
China is quietly positioning itself to dominate the brave new world of Bitcoin.
Until recently the digital cyrptocurrency was considered a joke by the financial mainstream, but the view is starting to shift now that prices have surged above their April peak and are now hovering around $600.
Bitcoins are still being viewed cautiously by lawmakers and regulators in the United States. In fact, there are two Senate hearings this week about the risks Bitcoin poses. But that is decidedly not the case in China. There has been a steady drumbeat of positive news in the Chinese press this year, including a landmark report on CCTV, China's national television network.
China's fascination with the currency upstart resulted in an estimated 40,000 client downloads a day and a burgeoning acceptance rate from online retailers down to physical traders standing in Tiananmen Square.
The largest Bitcoin exchange in the world is located securely inside China, and one of the world's largest Internet companies, Baidu (BIDU), is integrating and using Bitcoin. It seems highly unlikely that Baidu would be able to integrate Bitcoin payments across its vast network of users without some sort of complicit nod from higher authorities.
Chinese interest could play a huge role in turning Bitcoin into the first trillion dollar non-fiat currency.
Related: China fuels Bitcoin surge to record high
So why has China been so quick to embrace the virtual currency? It has been down this road before. In 2009, the government moved to staunch the rapidly rising phenomenon known as QQ, the virtual currency from social juggernaut Tencent (TCEHY).
In just a couple of years, QQ had grown to such an extent that some estimates put it at 13% of the Chinese cash economy. It was threatening to supplant the yuan in a viral tsunami that showed no signs of abating. At its height, people similarly gathered in public places to trade QQ, and shopkeepers began accepting it for payment.
Because Tencent controlled QQ through central online reserves, the Communist Party's response was swift, hobbling QQ at its knees and bringing it well back into line overnight. How did they do it? Since QQ was centrally managed, all the Chinese government had to do was tell Tencent to limit QQ's use or face a total shutdown of their business. So Tencent reeled it in.
Such a move is not so easy with the decentralized cryptography of Bitcoin, and Chinese officials know that.
Within months of the chop on QQ, the Bitcoin algorithm was released anonymously online. Bitcoin is difficult to trace. And as the open source aspects of Bitcoin grew and strong demand began to push up prices, China took notice, perhaps having been more aware than others of how quickly and completely these things can take off.
In terms of geopolitics, the implications of Chinese support for Bitcoin are clear and complicated for the U.S. The more bitcoins a person or entity control, the higher their influence in all things Bitcoin. While it is unlikely anyone will ever control more than 51% of Bitcoin, such an event could put the currency under control of that actor.
In the meantime, Bitcoin presents a marvelous gift for China, a country anxious to exert financial influence on a global scale, but nervous to overtly undercut the U.S. dollar, which it holds in abundance.
It could also help China exert more economic influence over commodity-rich Africa. Digital currencies like Bitcoin are already set to take off there and bring financial inclusion to 2.5 billion of the world's most under-banked.
Related: Donate to typhoon victims ... with Bitcoin
As Bitcoin infrastructure matures, it has the potential to be used as a currency in commodity markets and other areas of trade with lightning quickness, from gold to wheat to cotton and, yes, oil.
In Africa, this could mean the destruction of weak country currencies, large scale consumer adoption via mobile payments, and a new era for Chinese financial supremacy in Africa at large. For America, oil contracts from non-OPEC countries denominated in Bitcoin would pose significant threats.
That's why next year will be key for the future of Bitcoin. Ironically, it is the United States, the "free market" financial heavyweight in the world, that finds itself moving slowly to figure out how to adopt Bitcoin. Meanwhile, China is proving to be a leading player in this 21st century currency.
If the U.S. winds up over-regulating Bitcoin, the existing power structure in finance could be put at risk. The message to Congress is clear. Bitcoin is here to stay and lawmakers would do well to make sure that the U.S. does not get left behind in this brave, new digital currency world. The race is on, and Bitcoin doesn't care about national borders.
Stan Stalnaker is Founding Director of Hub Culture and the Ven, an asset-backed Internet reserve currency that along with Bitcoin and Ripple, is leading the digital asset market.

Senate takes a close look at Bitcoin - CNN Tech

Senate takes a close look at Bitcoin
by Jose Pagliery @Jose_Pagliery
November 18, 2013: 4:02 PM ET
bitcoin hearing
The price of bitcoins has surged. But some law enforcement officials are worried about crime tied to the mostly anonymous currency.
Just as the price of a Bitcoin reaches record highs, a U.S. Senate committee is taking a closer look at the world's favorite decentralized digital currency.
Are tight regulations to come? Do politicians see a currency they can't track or control as a threat -- or an asset?
It's anyone's guess. But it's clear bitcoins are growing in popularity. The price of the currency soared to a new all-time high of $675 Monday, up from only $12 a year ago. Without meddling banks in between transactions, bitcoins trade seamlessly and offer nearly as much privacy as cash.
That's why the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Government Affairs is hearing from various sides Monday. According to prepared statements from the Justice Department, an official at the DOJ said it needs more help catching criminals who use the secretive currency. Meanwhile, Bitcoin users want the government to back off and let the system blossom.
Related: Donate to typhoon victims ... with Bitcoin
Law enforcement doesn't like the anonymity: There are legitimate uses for bitcoins. But it's also being used to anonymously buy drugs, hire assassins, trade child porn and dodge taxes.
The nation's acting assistant attorney general, Mythili Raman, described the more notorious ways bitcoins are being used. She mentioned the recent FBI shutdown of Silk Road, an online black market. Illicit drugs and services -- like hacking -- were sold there using the (mostly) untraceable currency. The agency arrested its alleged founder and seized 170,000 BTC, valued at $101 million as of Monday afternoon.
The way bitcoins are transacted -- using coded wallets and special keys that don't need real names -- enables substantial privacy. Raman said that makes it more difficult to follow the money and catch criminals. It would be easier to fight crime with "appropriate anti-money laundering and know-your-customer controls," she said.
Along those lines, there are concerns that those making money from sex trafficking and pornography involving children have started to adopt Bitcoin.
The International Centre for Missing and Exploited Children noted how anonymity offered by Bitcoin has made it the currency of choice for predators. The nonprofit group's president, Ernie Allen, says he's not against the digital economy. But he wants it less private.
"If the perception of anonymity diminishes, we believe the criminal use will diminish with it," he said in prepared remarks.
Edward Lowery III, who leads the Secret Service's criminal investigative division, added that the technologically complex Bitcoin system makes it hard for everyday agents to stay on targets' tails. They need more tech-savvy investigators than the agency can currently afford.
Also chiming in was the potential regulator that could one-day ruin the unregulated Bitcoin party: The Treasury Department.
Treasury already issued guidance in March saying that groups exchanging bitcoins must register with the government and keep records. Everyday bitcoin users remain unregulated. Jennifer Shasky Calvery is head of the department's financial crimes unit and warned about leaving the bitcoin community untouched.
"One of our biggest challenges is striking the right balance between the costs and benefits of regulation," she said.
The Bitcoin community doesn't want too much regulation: Fans of Bitcoin say the currency is going mainstream, and it's not just for internet weirdos. That's why they want the government to give it a chance to grow and thrive without tacking on burdensome rules.
The Bitcoin Foundation, a group that seeks to strengthen the digital system, is trying to convince politicians the currency works as is.
"The American people have been reminded this year of reasons to be concerned for their privacy," says the group's attorney, Patrick Murck, referencing the recent disclosures about unwarranted government spying on innocent citizens.
Related: Why China wants to dominate Bitcoin
The group also notes that meetings with financial regulators have gone well so far, but the Treasury Department should have met with Bitcoin supporters before taking a stance earlier this year.
Academic researchers say that coming down too hard on the digital currency could push its innovative potential abroad.
Jerry Brito, a senior research fellow at George Mason University's Mercatus Center, feels that entrepreneurs have a lot to gain from bitcoins. Without banks, they're also more accessible to the world's poorest. Plus, they're not controlled by a central bank that can run rampant printing money and bring on hyperinflation.
But regulators can't get their heads around it. They might want to treat it as a foreign currency, a commodity or a payments network -- but it's not any of those. However, stopping it would be a dumb move.
"Restricting the use of Bitcoin will only ensure that criminals alone will use the technology," Brito and research assistant Andrea Castillo wrote in a report to Congress.

Bitcoin worth $9M buried in garbage dump - CNN Money

Bitcoin worth $9M buried in garbage dump
by Virginia Harrison @vharrisoncnn
November 29, 2013: 11:10 AM ET
landfill
A hard drive containing about $9 million in bitcoin is trapped under mounds of trash at a landfill site like this one in the U.K.
Hoarders everywhere may be feeling smug after a British man threw a hard drive containing more than $9 million in bitcoin into the trash.
The device is now buried under a mountain of garbage at a landfill site in Wales. It will be almost impossible to find.
James Howells got rid of the drive, which holds a digital store of 7,500 bitcoins, between June and August this year.
The IT worker mined the virtual currency four years ago when it was the exclusive domain of tech geeks.
Back then bitcoin was worth very little. On Friday, the cryptocurrency broke through $1,200, making the missing hard drive worth around $9 million.
Related: Bitcoin worth almost as much as gold
Howells had been hanging onto it for several years before deciding to clean up his home.
After discovering the mistake late last week, a "devastated" Howells began a frantic search through computer files and other drives for a backup. There isn't one.
A trip to the garbage dump was the only option.
"As soon as I saw the site, I thought you've got no chance. The area covered is huge," he told CNN.
How I make money mining bitcoins
How I make money mining bitcoins
A spokesperson for Newport City Council said an item thrown away in the summer months would now be buried under 25,000 cubic meters of waste and earth.
The council, which operates the dump, said it has helped retrieve items in some circumstances "but this would have to be done very quickly after it was thrown away."
Howells said he's had all sorts of suggestions emailed to him about how to get the drive back.
But well-meaning individuals shouldn't bother heading to the tip on his behalf - it's closed to the public for safety reasons.
Related: 8 things you can buy with bitcoin
Speculators have helped power bitcoin's dazzling rise this year.
A growing number of businesses now accept bitcoins, including some Subway sandwich shops and Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic space travel venture, though critics claim it's unlikely to become a legitimate currency.
The program behind bitcoin was created anonymously and introduced on the internet in 2010. Unlike traditional money, bitcoins are not managed by a central authority and exist only in cyberspace.
-- CNN's Adam Dunnakey contributed to this report.