Monday, September 17, 2018

China’s Bytedance shows way to navigate ‘great firewall’ - Financial Times

Sept. 17, 2018.

China’s Bytedance shows way to navigate ‘great firewall’
Internet group creates video apps to reach foreign markets without upsetting censors

Zhang Yiming, Bytedance’s founder, created two versions of the group’s hit short-video app to reach the broadest possible audience © Bloomberg

Emily Feng in Beijing YESTERDAY
The wildly popular Chinese short-video apps Douyin and Tik Tok look almost the same, with identical interfaces, video editing tools and logos.

But there is a key difference: Douyin can only be downloaded from a Chinese app store by someone on the mainland, while Tik Tok is accessible only to users outside of the country.

Bytedance, the Chinese internet company behind both fast-growing platforms, has created two separate apps for users at home and abroad rather than attempt to manage content flowing in and out of China’s “ great firewall” — providing a potential road map for how mainland tech companies can go global without falling foul of Beijing’s content restrictions.

Since erecting a barrier of internet restrictions in 1998, China has operated largely within an intranet — its version of the worldwide web but bounded by digital controls. That has created a costly challenge for Chinese internet companies: how to expand globally while adhering to domestic content controls.

Tik Tok’s experience offers one example of how Chinese companies can navigate Beijing’s internet controls by walling off domestic and international users within the apps themselves.

“By nature, companies like Bytedance are more sensitive . . . because China controls videos more rigorously, and so government regulation and inspection of [these platforms] is stricter,” said Yan Zhanmeng, research director at Counterpoint Technology, an analysis firm. “This strategy of division reduces risk.”

Other major internet companies have explored the idea of separate, parallel versions of a product. The Financial Times reported last month that Google was considering a China-specific version of its search product that would censor results delivered for certain search terms.

The company exited the country eight years ago rather than bend to authorities on censorship and surveillance. The proposed China search app, known internally as Dragonfly, has not yet received regulatory approval and may never be commercially launched. Sundar Pichai, chief executive, tried to quell staff disquiet about the project, telling them that the company was “not close” to launching it.

Six-year-old Bytedance has found success by building out separate video platforms.


Tik Tok, its international app, was the world’s most downloaded iOS app in the first quarter of this year, according to US research firm Sensor Tower. It claims 200m monthly active users, while Douyin has amassed more than 300m monthly users in China as of June 2018.

Zhang Yiming, Bytedance’s founder, looked to create two versions of the platform from the beginning, including establishing separate teams to design and manage them, says Hans Tung, a board member at music video app Musical.ly and managing partner at GGV Capital, a Bytedance investor.

“Initially, we saw people . . . [who] missed out in China and decided to put their energy elsewhere. We are seeing better quality teams that from day one want to build international teams,” he said.

Tik Tok’s rapid global rise also has been helped by strategic acquisitions. Last month, Bytedance merged Tik Tok with Musical.ly, the US start-up it bought last November for $1bn. The accounts of Musical.ly’s 60m monthly users were automatically folded into the Tik Tok platform.

Tik Tok only allows users to register accounts via Facebook, Instagram, Twitter or Google Plus — all of which are blocked in China. The app is not available to download for Chinese-registered users from Android and iOS stores.

Those with smartphones using a Chinese Sim card cannot access Tik Tok even when the app is downloaded from a foreign-registered app store, a move likely aimed at guarding against the practice of skirting that restriction by buying a foreign app store login from ecommerce sites such as Taobao.

Some critics say Bytedance is helping extend China’s restrictive internet architecture.

But the company has had its own run-ins with Beijing’s censors. In April, Jinri Toutiao, its popular news feed app which translates as “Today’s Headlines”, was slapped with a three-week download ban for allegedly sharing racy content. The crackdown prompted Bytedance to promise to increase its number of human censors from 6,000 to 10,000 to police and remove “vulgar” items.

Other analysts say Tik Tok’s success signals a departure from the reactive, labour-intensive method of navigating China censorship, a model pioneered by the ubiquitous Tencent-owned chat app WeChat.

In 2013, WeChat was the first big Chinese app to try to go global, but it failed to build a meaningful presence abroad beyond the millions of overseas Chinese users who sent and received information through the great firewall.

To police undesirable information, WeChat maintains a blocked keyword list that is updated as new events or sensitive issues come up, according to Lotus Ruan, a research fellow at the University of Toronto’s Citizen Lab, which studies censorship.

“Chinese censorship is reactive to events and when an unexpected crisis happens, there is little time for censors to decide what content should or should not be censored,” said Ms Ruan. “Therefore it is very likely that private companies end up over-censoring content to play safe.”

Censors and customers play a continuous “cat-and-mouse game”, she added. “Creative internet users can come up with coded languages to game the system, so there are always cracks in the wall.”

Additional reporting by Yizhen Jia in Shanghai

A World With Fewer Babies Spells Economic Trouble - Bloomberg

A World With Fewer Babies Spells Economic Trouble
By
September 14, 2018, 2:00 PM GMT+10

Please have more babies.
Forget the prophecies saying overpopulation will starve the planet. The human race is approaching the point where it’s no longer reproducing enough to expand the global headcount. In the world’s biggest economies -- the U.S., China, Japan and Germany -- it’s already happening or will soon. Economists say these countries could see slower economic growth unless they increase their working-age populations by accepting immigrants, possibly from regions with higher fertility rates, like parts of Asia and Africa. Lower fertility rates -- the number of live births per woman -- could also threaten safety-net programs like pensions and health care.

1. How big is the dropoff?
Fertility rates have dropped globally to about 2.4 this decade, from 5 in the 1960s, according to the World Bank. That’s getting close to the rate, about 2.1, required to keep the world’s population stable in the long run. Many wealthier countries, particularly in Europe, are well below 2.1. Several nations -- Moldova, South Korea, Singapore -- share the world’s lowest fertility rate of 1.2. Most developing nations have much higher rates, with many in Africa at 5 or above.

2. Why has this happened?
Lots of reasons. With advances in agriculture and medicine, people are living longer and far fewer children are dying young. Increasing urbanization means families don’t need as many kids to work the fields. More women are delaying marriage and children for work and education. Economists have also found an association between low fertility and higher incomes. Once a country’s output per person passes $10,000 annually, women tend to give birth to no more than two children. Education and government policies, meanwhile, have sharply reduced births among teenage girls.

3. What will this do to the world’s population?
The United Nations calculated the world’s population as of 2017 at 7.6 billion people, a number it projects will grow to 11.2 billion at the end of this century, after which it could begin to fall. But a lot of countries are going to shrink before then. With a fertility rate of only 1.6, China’s population will drop 28 percent by 2100, ceding the title of world’s most-populous nation to India, the UN predicts. With a fertility rate of 1.4, Japan’s population will plunge 34 percent by 2100. The U.S.’s headcount is expected to keep growing, despite a low fertility rate of 1.8, because of large numbers of immigrants, though government policies could change that.

4. What happens when a country’s population stops growing?
Its economy can still expand, but the pace over the long run would be limited to the speed at which productivity -- output per hour worked -- is rising. Since the 2007-2009 recession, productivity gains have been relatively meager, making low fertility rates an added problem. If fewer people work, there’s less income to go around. Fewer workers also mean less tax revenue for retirement and health-care programs. And that means governments might have to cut benefits, raise taxes or borrow more, pitting the old and young against each other.

5. Where is this playing out now?
In Japan, employers often struggle to fill job vacancies. Spending on health care and pensions has swollen Japan’s public debt to more than twice the size of its economy. The International Monetary Fund has estimated that the country’s annual economic growth could be 1 percentage point lower for the next three decades because of Japan’s aging population. That means the country’s economy, forecast to expand 1 percent this year and next, may stagnate further.

6. What can governments do?
Immigration can help, but not all countries are willing to open their doors. Japan, historically wary of immigrants, under Prime Minister Shinzo Abe wants to allow more foreign workers for limited stays. Abe is also encouraging more automation and more women in the workforce. Germany’s fertility rate, at 1.5, is the highest in decades, thanks in part to a recent immigration surge but also to adoption of family-friendly policies, including raising parental-leave allowances. But in France, which for years has had pro-baby policies, such as cash bonuses and tax breaks for parents, the 1.96 fertility rate is its lowest level since 2005.

7. Can China reverse its expected population decline?
Not likely. China changed its rules in 2016 to allow two children and now may remove limits altogether. While that may encourage some families to have more babies, it won’t give a major boost to the national fertility rate, according to Chinese demographer Cai Yong. Among the obstacles: high living costs, long work hours and surging child-care expenses.

The Reference Shelf
A Bloomberg Benchmark podcast with Cai Yong.
Bloomberg columnist Noah Smith writes about Japan’s baby bust and what rich nations can do to reverse their population slide.
Bloomberg QuickTake explainers on Japan’s low birthrate and China’s reversal of its two-child policy.
The World Bank keeps track of fertility rates worldwide.
American women explain why they chose to have fewer children in this New York Times article.

Australian politicians call for nine-year-old to be expelled for sitting during national anthem - Independent

Australian politicians call for nine-year-old to be expelled for sitting during national anthem
Posted on Sept. 14, 2018. ago by Louis Staples in news 
UPVOTE 

Australian politicians have launched public attacks against a nine-year-old girl who refused to stand during the country's national anthem to protest nation's treatment of its indigenous population.

Harper Nielsen has said that she sat during her country's national anthem because she believed it was disrespectful to indigenous Australians.

Australia’s national anthem, entitled "Advance Australia Fair," contains the line "Australians all let us rejoice, for we are young and free".

Neilsen told Aussie news channel Nine News that she objects to these lines in particular. She said:

When it says Advance Australia Fair, it means advance the white people

And when it says 'we are young' it completely disregards the indigenous Australians who were here before us for 50,000 years

Australia's indigenous population represents about 2% of the total population but suffer significant health and social inequalities.

Far-right senator Pauline Hanson said Australian schools were "brainwashing" children and called for Nielsen to be expelled.

She said:

It's about who we are as a nation, it's part of us ... Here we have a kid who's been brainwashed and I'll tell you what, I'd give her a kick up the backside"

This kid is headed down the wrong path and I blame the parents for encouraging this

Former Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott said standing for the anthem is “good manners”. Queensland Liberal National politician Jarrod Bleijie said on Twitter that Neilsen is a "brat" who should be suspended if she continues to protest.

Jarrod Bleijie

@JarrodBleijieMP
 Shame on her parents for using her as a political pawn.Stop the silly protest and stand and sing proudly your National Anthem. Refusing to stand disrespects our country and our veterans. Suspension should follow if she continues to act like a brat  #qldpol http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/news-story/4368e8e72309376d9e6ae0eee994c06f …

11:13 - 12 Sep 2018

Anthem boycott leads to detention
A NINE-year-old girl has been threatened with suspension and given detention because she refuses to stand for the national anthem.

couriermail.com.au


Though her father Mark Nielsen told CNN that he was "amazed and proud" of his daughter.

He said:

(I'm) amazed at her capacity for seeing things that don't feel right and having the strength to try and right them. I don't have that, so to see someone so young is really astonishing, and I'm just incredibly proud.

Nielsen said his family had received both support and hate mail.

In response to the furore, the Queensland Department of Education said the school would not expel or suspend Nielsen for sitting during the anthem. It said:

Kenmore South State School is an inclusive and tolerant school which supports the diverse points of view of all students and families.

The argument over Australia's national anthem follows a long-running dispute between US president Donald Trump and the National Football League, after several African-American players began kneeling during the national anthem to protest police brutality.

London mayor calls for second Brexit referendum - Reuters

SEPTEMBER 16, 2018
London mayor calls for second Brexit referendum
Paul Sandle

LONDON (Reuters) - London mayor Sadiq Khan has called for another referendum on Britain’s European Union membership, saying the prime minister’s handling of Brexit negotiations had become “mired in confusion and deadlock” and was leading the country down a damaging path.

Soccer Football - The Best FIFA Football Awards - London Palladium, London, Britain - October 23, 2017 Mayor of London Sadiq Khan speaks during the awards REUTERS/Eddie Keogh
Britain is due to leave the EU on March 29. But with Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit plans still not accepted, some MPs, as well as union and business leaders, are arguing for people to have a final say on any deal with Brussels.

May has repeatedly ruled out a second referendum. She says MPs will get to vote on whether to accept any final deal.

The backing of Khan, a member of the Labour party, for a second referendum will put more pressure on Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn to change his opposition to the idea when the party meets for its annual conference in a week’s time.

A second referendum, dubbed a “people’s vote” by its proponents, is not Labour party policy, although finance spokesman John McDonnell said last month that no option should be off the table.

London backed remaining in the EU in the June 2016 referendum that went in favour of leaving.

Khan said Britain was now facing either a bad deal or a no-deal Brexit, both of which were “incredibly risky”.

Writing in Sunday’s Observer newspaper, he blamed the government’s handling of the negotiations and said the threat to living standards, the economy and jobs was too great for voters not to have a say.

“The government’s abject failure – and the huge risk we face of a bad deal or a no-deal Brexit – means that giving people a fresh say is now the right – and only – approach left for our country,” he said.

GOVERNMENT LIFELINE
Labour’s international trade spokesman Barry Gardiner said a second referendum would throw the Conservative government a lifeline.

“If this government cannot do what it is supposed to and govern, then we need actually to change the government,” he told Sky News.

Khan said the “sensible thing” would be for the prime minister to call a general election if she did not have support for any Brexit deal.

“(But) if there’s not going to be a general election, the next best thing is for the British public to have a say on the outcome of the negotiations,” he told the BBC’s Andrew Marr.

Environment secretary Michael Gove, a leading figure in the campaign to leave the EU more than two years ago, said Khan wanted to frustrate the vote.

“People voted clearly - 17.4 million people voted to leave the European Union - and Sadiq is essentially saying ‘Stop, let’s delay that whole process, let’s throw it into chaos’ and I think that would be a profound mistake,” he told Marr.

Theresa May said on Sunday she was focussed on her plan for a relationship with the EU based on a common rulebook for all goods, and that she was “a little bit irritated” by constant speculation about her position.

“This debate is not about my future; this debate is about the future of the people of the UK and the future of the United Kingdom,” she said in excerpts from an interview with the BBC that will be broadcast on Monday

“It’s ensuring that we get that good deal from the European Union which is good for people in the UK, wherever they live in the UK, that’s what’s important for us.”

But with time running out for London and Brussels to thrash out a deal, Britain is preparing plans for a no-deal Brexit.

Chancellor Philip Hammond told senior ministers last week that Brexit could have to be delayed beyond March 29 in order to pass new laws, The Sun newspaper said on Saturday.

The idea was immediately rejected by May, the report said.

Reporting by Paul Sandle and Sarah Young; Editing by William Maclean and Mark Potter

Coast guard member sneakily makes 'white power' sign live on TV - Independent

Coast guard member sneakily makes 'white power' sign live on TV
Posted on Sept. 15, 2018 by Narjas Zatat in news 
UPVOTE 

A member of the US Coast Guard Team responding to Hurricane Florence has been removed from duty after a video of him making what appears to be a symbol representing white supremacy went viral.

The man was removed from response operations and the incident is under investigation, Coast Guard Lt. J B Zorn told NBC News.

A captain was being interviewed about the relief efforts in South Carolina when a man behind him in a red shirt flashed the ‘ok’ sign, which has been associated with ‘White Power.’ He seems to be doing it secretly, but people quickly noticed online.

People are calling for the unnamed man to be fired.


Dawn Able
@dawn_able
Replying to @USCG
"Removed from the response?" I hope this is just the beginning of serious disciplinary action and termination!

11:05 AM - Sep 15, 2018

The US Coast Guard quickly apologised.

U.S. Coast Guard

@USCG
 We are aware of the offensive video on twitter - the Coast Guard has identified the member and removed him from the response. His actions do not reflect those of the United States Coast Guard.

10:51 AM - Sep 15, 2018

Zorn said:

Whatever the symbol means, it doesn’t reflect the Coast Guard and our core values. It won’t be tolerated.

Coast Guard officials have not identified the man and refused to discuss the possibility of disciplinary action, NBC News reports.

The symbol originated on 4chan and has been used by people on the far right – including those who identify as white supremacists. It spread as a viral troll campaign aimed at making liberals and the media look gullible. According to the Washington Post, in February 2017 4chan's /pol/ board discussed trying to make the idea go viral. 'To any who haven’t seen the original thread, our goal is to convince people on twitter that the ‘ok’ hand sign has been co-opted by neo-nazis,' the original poster of the thread wrote.

Typhoon Mangkhut: Miners and families buried by landslide - BBC News

Sept. 17, 2018.

Typhoon Mangkhut: Miners and families buried by landslide

A building used as a refuge by miners and their families was crushed by landslides
Rescuers in the Philippines are digging through mud to retrieve bodies buried by a landslide that hit as Typhoon Mangkhut battered the country.

At least 32 people in the mining town of Itogon, in Benguet province, were crushed in a single shelter.

Teams are digging through the rubble with their bare hands, passing blocks of concrete and pieces of wood down a 50ft line to clear the area.

Typhoon Mangkhut is now weakening over southern China.

Four people were killed in the province of Guangdong - three by falling trees.

What happened in the Philippines?
The storm ploughed across the main Philippine island of Luzon over the weekend. More than 60 people have been killed, mostly in landslides triggered by heavy rains, with the majority in Benguet province.

A group of artisanal goldminers in the village of Ucab, which lies in a valley in Itogon municipality, had huddled with their families in a two-storey shelter, Conrad Navidad of the International Organization for Migration told the BBC. The building was crushed, and 29 people remain missing.

"It was used as a worship area for the church group of the mine workers and their families," said Mr Navidad, who was at the scene earlier on Monday. "Before the typhoon hit, their pastor invited them to take refuge in that bunkhouse - and then the disaster happened and they were buried by the landslide.

'We are cowering in fear'
"They are not hoping for survivors anymore - just for the retrieval of the bodies buried."

The Chamber of Mines of the Philippines said mining operators had been told to leave, but that a mine near the shelter had been operating illegally.

The Philippine government on Monday said it was deploying security forces to put a stop to illegal small-scale mining in the vast Cordillera mountain region, a practice which is credited with increasing the likelihood of landslides in communities like Itogon.

Image copyrightEPA
Image caption
Relatives of those caught in the landslide wait as rescuers dig for bodies
The BBC's Howard Johnson, who has been covering the storm, described a trail of destruction along the northern coast of Luzon, with forests ripped to shreds and electricity poles felled.

There is also concern over the economic cost of the typhoon, which has caused extensive damage to farmland in Cagayan, a key agricultural province.

Francis Tolentino, a political adviser to President Rodrigo Duterte, told the BBC he estimated only a fifth of produce there had been harvested in advance - threatening staples like rice and corn.


Media captionTyphoon Mangkhut moved from the Philippines to Hong Kong
Preparation and evacuation procedures have nonetheless improved since Super Typhoon Haiyan in 2013, which killed more than 7,000 people.

Warnings were issued, travel was restricted, schools closed, and the army was put on standby in advance.

How has China been affected?
Typhoon Mangkhut is one of the most powerful storms to hit the region in decades. It made landfall on the Chinese coast near Jiangmen city on Sunday afternoon.

It is now weakening as it makes its way across southern China and has been downgraded to a tropical storm.

More than 2.5 million people have been evacuated in Guangdong and on Hainan island.

People caught outside as the worst of the storm approached were overwhelmed by conditions
In Hong Kong, which was hit hard over the weekend, videos on social media showed apartments swaying in the wind, scaffolding crashing to the ground and commercial buildings with windows shattered.

Transport services were suspended, with flights cancelled, trains stopped, and major roads closed.

Officials put the number of injured at more than 200.

The city managed to avoid serious casualties but now faces a difficult recovery as thousands remain affected by flooding and travel disruptions.

Skip Twitter post by @jeffielam
View image on TwitterView image on Twitter

Jeffie Lam

@jeffielam
 We might have survived the monster typhoon #mangkhut yesterday but the gov’s decision of not declaring a holiday today appears to be more disastrous.. pix taken by Sam Tsang of @SCMPNews in Tai Wai Station. poor Hongkongers...

11:16 AM - Sep 17, 2018

While it avoided a direct hit, winds there reached more than 110mph and water levels surged by almost 3.5m (12ft) in places.

Authorities had issued their maximum alert, warning residents to stay indoors and away from windows to avoid flying debris.

No-deal Brexit would hit UK economy, says IMF - BBC News

Sept. 17, 2018.

No-deal Brexit would hit UK economy, says IMF

Christine Lagarde was speaking at a news conference at the Treasury
The International Monetary Fund has warned that a "no-deal" Brexit on World Trade Organization terms would entail "substantial costs" for the UK economy.

The IMF said that all likely Brexit scenarios would "entail costs", but a disorderly departure could lead to "a significantly worse outcome".

The challenges in getting a deal done were "daunting", it said.

The IMF expects Britain's economy to grow by 1.5% in both 2018 and 2019 if a broad Brexit agreement is struck.

The predictions came in the IMF's latest annual assessment of the UK economy.

Speaking at a news conference at the Treasury in London, Christine Lagarde, the IMF's managing director, added: "Those projections assume a timely deal with the EU on a broad free trade agreement and a relatively orderly Brexit process after that.

"Any deal will not be as good as the smooth process under which goods, services, people and capital move around between the EU and the UK without impediments and obstacles."

A no-deal outcome would affect other EU economies "to a lesser extent", the IMF said.

PM: 'It's my Brexit deal - or no deal'
Brexit: All you need to know
Ms Lagarde said a "disorderly" or "crash" exit from the EU would have a series of consequences, including reduced growth, an increased deficit and depreciation of sterling, leading to a reduction in the size of the UK economy.

"The larger the impediments to trade in the new relationship, the costlier it will be," she said.

"This should be fairly obvious, but it seems that sometimes it is not."

She pointed out that countries tended to trade mostly with their neighbours, adding: "I think geography talks very loudly."

Analysis:
Kamal Ahmed, BBC economics editor

Comparing this year's IMF analysis and Ms Lagarde's words with last December and there is a significant cooling of sentiment around the effects of Brexit.

The IMF is signalling that, with just over six months to go before Britain is scheduled to leave the EU, the very fact that "no deal" remains on the table is of economic concern.

When asked if she could see any "positives" coming from Brexit, Ms Lagarde repeated the long list of possible negatives.

"No," seemed to be her answer.

Read Kamal's blog in full

'Clear warnings'
Ms Lagarde said she "very much" hoped that the UK and the EU would strike a deal, describing herself as "a desperate optimist".

UK Chancellor Philip Hammond said the government had to listen to the IMF's "clear warnings".

He added: "The IMF are clear today that no deal would be extremely costly for the UK as it would also for the EU, and that despite the contingency actions we're taking, leaving without a deal would put at risk the substantial progress the British people have made over the past 10 years in repairing our economy."

Recent UK economic data has shown a pick-up in growth. Earlier this month, the Office for National Statistics said the economy had grown by 0.6% over the three months to July - the fastest pace in almost a year.

The latest IMF prediction represents a slight upgrade for 2018. In July, the IMF said the UK economy would grow by 1.4% this year and 1.5% in 2019.